Argentina
Switzerland12 July 2026 · Kick-off 02:00 · Stadium of Argentina
A pulsating World Cup quarter-final tie awaits at Arrowhead Stadium as Argentina lock horns with Switzerland. Given Switzerland's more impressive showings throughout the tournament so far, we're tipping them to secure a 2-1 victory. While Argentina have enjoyed a relatively straightforward path to this stage, they haven't consistently convinced in the knockout rounds. Lionel Messi was again the difference-maker, driving La Albiceleste to a thrilling 3-2 comeback triumph against Egypt, having previously scraped past Cape Verde. Julian Alvarez's previous performance was unconvincing, which opens the door for Lautaro Martinez to potentially start. Although Lionel Scaloni's side boast a flawless ten-match winning streak and have scored an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last ten fixtures, they've appeared uncharacteristically shaky defensively in recent knockout encounters. Switzerland, meanwhile, continue to impress and are brimming with confidence after dispatching Colombia on penalties in the last 16. Murat Yakin's team have been notoriously tough to defeat for some time, accumulating 1.7 points per game from their last ten matches and netting an average of 1.8 goals per contest. The return of the quick winger Ruben Vargas is a significant positive, though tournament star Johan Manzanbi is likely to be sidelined through injury. Argentina's form doesn't quite match their perfect win record, whereas Switzerland have delivered consistently strong performances. With that in mind, we're drawn to the appeal of backing the underdogs (Away Win). Furthermore, the Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals markets also look attractive (Argentina have averaged 3.4 total goals in their last ten games, and another entertaining knockout fixture is on the horizon). This World Cup 2026 encounter is scheduled for Sunday 12 July 2026 with a kick-off time of 02:00.
Looking at Argentina's performance across their most recent 10 fixtures in all competitions, they've been in sensational form.
Their results read as a perfect W W W W W W W W W W, yielding an impressive 3.00 points per game on average. This dominance extends to their home turf, where another string of W W W W W W W W showcases their strength, also averaging 3.00 points per game. On the road, their record is a strong W W, with an average of 3.00 points per game.
Digging into the statistics:
* **Win Percentage:** Argentina boast a flawless 100% win rate across all their matches, including 100% at home and 100% away.
* **Average Goals Per Game:** They're scoring an average of 3.40 goals overall, with 3.50 at home and 3.00 on the road.
* **Goals Scored:** Their attacking output sees them average 2.80 goals scored overall, 2.88 at home, and 2.50 away.
* **Goals Conceded:** Defensively, they're incredibly solid, conceding just 0.60 goals per game overall, 0.63 at home, and 0.50 away.
* **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** The BTTS percentage stands at 40% overall, 38% for home games, and 50% for away fixtures.
* **Clean Sheets:** Argentina are keeping clean sheets in 60% of their matches overall, 63% at home, and 50% away.
* **Failed to Score:** They haven't failed to score in any of their matches, with a 0% record in this regard overall, at home, and away.
* **Expected Goals (xG):** Their expected goals figure is 1.64 overall, 1.76 at home, and 1.19 away.
* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** Conversely, their expected goals conceded stands at 0.78 overall, 0.80 at home, and 0.69 away.
Switzerland's recent performances across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions show a mixed bag. Their overall form reads as: draw, loss, draw, win, draw, draw, win, win, win, draw, yielding 1.70 points per game on average. At home, their record is stronger: loss, win, draw, win, win, win, draw, with an average of 2.00 points per game. Away from home, it's been more challenging, with draws in all their recent away matches, averaging 1.00 point per game.
Looking at the statistics:
Overall, Switzerland are winning 40% of their matches, scoring an average of 2.80 goals per game, with 1.80 of those being scored by them. They concede 1.00 goal per game. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has occurred in 70% of games, and they've kept a clean sheet 30% of the time. They've failed to score in 20% of their matches. Their Expected Goals (xG) stand at 1.41, with their Expected Goals Against (xGA) at 1.24.
At home, their win rate rises to 57%, and they average a higher 3.43 goals per game, netting 2.29 themselves. They concede 1.14 goals per game at home. BTTS is prevalent in 71% of home games, with clean sheets kept in 29% of them. They've failed to score in 14% of home fixtures. Their home xG is 1.33, and their home xGA is 1.42.
Away from home, their win percentage drops to 0%, and they average just 1.33 goals per game, scoring 0.67 of those. They concede 0.67 goals per game on the road. BTTS has happened in 67% of away matches, and they've managed a clean sheet in 33% of them. They've failed to score in 33% of their away games. Their away xG is 1.55, and their away xGA is 0.88.
Argentina boasts a perfect record in their last 1 encounter, winning 1 and drawing 0. They have kept a clean sheet in 100% of these games. Conversely, Switzerland has a 0% win rate over this period, with no draws. Neither side has exceeded 1.5 goals in their sole meeting, nor have they surpassed 2.5 or 3.5 goals. Both teams have failed to score in 0% of matches between them. The most recent fixture was on 1 July 2014, where Argentina defeated Switzerland 1-0.
| Market | Tip | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Correct Score | 1-2 | 19.00 |
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | Yes | 2.05 |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.08 |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.25 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 2.20 |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.40 |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Lionel Messi | 1.91 |
| First Goalscorer | Lionel Messi | 4.00 |
| To be Booked | Denis Zakaria | 3.40 |
| Asian Handicap | Switzerland +1 | 1.63 |
| European Handicap | Switzerland +2 | 1.36 |
| Shots on Target (Home) | Over 2.5 | — |
| Shots on Target (Away) | Over 4.5 | — |
| Shots on Target (Total) | Over 7.5 | — |
| Total Corners | 6 - 8 | 2.75 |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1.29 |
| Draw No Bet | Switzerland to Win | 3.75 |
| Half Time/Full Time | Switzerland to Win/Switzerland to Win | 9.50 |
| Clean Sheet | Argentina - No | 1.73 |