Belgium vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips | 1 July 2026

Match Preview

Belgium and Senegal go head-to-head in the World Cup last 32 in what's set up to be a captivating encounter between two teams hitting a purple patch. With Belgium showing gradual improvement throughout the tournament, our tip anticipates a 2-1 victory for the home side. Belgium secured their spot in the last 32 following a dominant 5-1 triumph against New Zealand, a match where Leandro Trossard shone with a brace. Defender Nathan Ngoy is available again after suspension, offering coach Rudi Garcia an additional valuable defensive choice. The Red Devils have been in superb form, claiming victory in six of their last ten fixtures and netting an impressive average of 3.1 goals per game. Their attacking prowess is further underlined by 2.27 expected goals (xG) per match, coupled with a solid defence that concedes just 0.8 goals on average, demonstrating a well-rounded approach. Senegal bounced back strongly from their loss to Norway by dismantling ten-man Iraq 5-0 to progress to the knockout stages. Pape Gueye is anticipated to feature in the starting line-up again after netting twice from the bench, though goalkeeper Edouard Mendy's participation remains uncertain after his absence from the Iraq game due to injury. The Lions of Teranga have won six of their last ten outings, averaging 1.8 goals scored and registering six clean sheets over that span, proving their resilience and ability to frustrate opponents. Given Belgium's attacking sharpness and continued upward trajectory, we're leaning towards a Home Win bet, as well as backing Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals (Both teams are entering this clash on the back of convincing wins and possess significant attacking firepower). This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Wednesday 1 July 2026, kicking off at 21:00.

Belgium Team Form and Stats

Looking at Belgium's performance over their last 10 fixtures across all tournaments, they've secured 2.20 points per game on average. Their home record sees them bagging 2.00 points on average, while away from home they've been even stronger, averaging 2.33 points per outing.

In terms of statistics, their overall win rate stands at 60%, with a 50% success rate on home turf and a solid 67% on their travels. They're finding the net 3.90 times on average per game overall, with 3.50 at home and a slightly higher 4.17 when playing away. Their scoring average is 3.10 overall, 3.25 at home and 3.00 away. Defensively, they're conceding just 0.80 goals per game on average overall, a tight 0.25 at home, and 1.17 away. Both Teams to Score has occurred in 60% of their overall matches, 25% at home, and a significant 83% of away games. They've managed clean sheets in 40% of their overall matches, an impressive 75% at home, and 17% away. They've failed to score in 10% of overall games, 25% at home, and not once (0%) away. Expected goals per game are 2.27 overall, 2.72 at home, and 1.97 away. Conversely, their expected goals against are 0.93 overall, 0.78 at home, and 1.04 away.

Senegal Team Form and Stats

Looking at Senegal's performance over their last 10 outings across all tournaments, they've picked up an average of 1.90 points per game overall. Their recent form reads as a strong sequence of five wins, followed by a loss, a draw, two further defeats, and then another victory. At home, their record is even more impressive, averaging 3.00 points per game with a perfect five wins from their last five matches. However, their away form tells a different story, with only 0.80 points per game earned, marked by a win, a loss, a draw, two defeats, and another loss.

Digging into the statistics, Senegal boast a 60% win rate overall, which rockets to 100% when playing on home turf, but drops to a mere 20% on the road. They're scoring plenty, averaging 2.80 goals per game in total, with 2.60 at home and 3.00 away. Their goal-scoring average stands at 1.80 per match generally, 2.40 at home, and 1.20 away. Defensively, they're conceding 1.00 goal per game overall, a miserly 0.20 at home, but a less secure 1.80 away. Both Teams to Score has occurred in 40% of their matches overall, dropping to 20% at home and rising to 60% away. Clean sheets are a common feature, with 60% of their games ending without conceding, 80% at home, and 40% away. They've failed to score in just 10% of games overall, never doing so at home, but drawing a blank in 20% of their away fixtures. Their Expected Goals (xG) figure is 1.68 overall, 2.03 at home, and 1.33 away. In terms of Expected Goals Against (xGA), it's 1.22 overall, 1.10 at home, and 1.33 away.

Belgium vs Senegal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There is no recorded history of previous encounters between these two clubs.