Brazil vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips | 13 June 2026

Match Preview

This Group C opener between Brazil and Morocco at MetLife Stadium is shaping up to be a real spectacle. We're anticipating a tight affair, with both teams likely to be a bit cagey in their first World Cup outing, so our prediction is a 1-1 draw. Brazil arrive at the tournament in fine fettle following some high-octane friendly performances. However, they'll be without Neymar for their opener due to a calf issue, and Chelsea's Joao Pedro hasn't made the cut. This means Brentford's Igor Thiago is poised to spearhead the attack. Brazil have a strong recent record, winning six of their last ten games and netting an average of 2.4 goals per match, with their games averaging 3.4 goals overall. Morocco, on the other hand, are buzzing after winning the Africa Cup of Nations. Manager Mohamed Ouahbi has PSV's Ismael Saibari available, and the influential Achraf Hakimi and Brahim Diaz are set to feature. The Atlas Lions have been incredibly resilient defensively, letting in just 0.4 goals per game in their last ten matches and keeping six clean sheets. They've also won six of those ten fixtures, marking them out as genuine outsiders. While Brazil's attack is potent, Morocco have the attacking talent to get on the scoresheet themselves. Consequently, our primary betting recommendation is for Both Teams to Score, with additional tips on Over 3.5 yellow cards and Over 23.5 fouls, suggesting a physical encounter where neither side will shy away from a tackle. This World Cup 2026 fixture kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 23:00.

Brazil Team Form and Stats

Looking at Brazil's performance over their most recent 10 fixtures across all competitions, they've secured a decent points-per-game average of 1.90. Their home form is particularly strong, averaging 2.29 points from their last matches, though their away record sees them picking up just 1.00 point per game.

In terms of statistics, Brazil boast a 60% win rate overall, escalating to an impressive 71% when playing on home soil, but dipping to 33% on their travels. They're scoring an average of 3.40 goals per game overall, with 3.29 at home and 3.67 away. They are netting 2.40 goals on average per match and conceding 1.00. At home, they score 2.43 and concede 0.86, while away it's 2.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams to score has occurred in 50% of their overall games, 57% at home, and 33% away. They've kept a clean sheet in 40% of their matches overall, 43% at home, and 33% away. They've failed to find the net in 10% of their games generally, with a perfect record of not failing to score at home (0%) and a 33% failure rate away. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.69 overall, 1.83 at home, and 1.36 away. Conversely, their expected goals against (xGA) are 1.17 overall, 0.99 at home, and 1.61 on the road.

Morocco Team Form and Stats

Looking at Morocco's last 10 outings across all competitions, their form has been impressive. They've achieved a points-per-game average of 2.10 overall. At home, this figure rises to 2.33 points per game, with their away record showing a solid 1.75 points per game.

Their win percentage stands at 60% overall, climbing to 67% on home turf and 50% on the road. Morocco average 2.30 goals per game in total, a figure boosted to 2.83 at home, though they average 1.50 goals per game when playing away. They've been scoring 1.90 goals per game on average, with 2.33 at home and 1.25 away. Defensively, they've been very strong, conceding just 0.40 goals per game overall, 0.50 at home and a mere 0.25 away. Both Teams To Score has occurred in 30% of their matches overall, increasing to 50% at home and not happening at all in their away games. Clean sheets have been a regular feature, with 60% across all games, 50% at home, and an outstanding 75% away. They've failed to score in 20% of their matches overall, a stat that drops to 0% at home and rises to 50% away. Their Expected Goals (xG) stand at 1.67 overall, 1.61 at home, and 1.74 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) are impressively low at 0.73 overall, 0.68 at home, and 0.78 away.

Brazil vs Morocco Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

Brazil are given no chance in this one, with their recent form showing 0 wins and 0 draws from their last 1 match. Morocco, on the other hand, boast a 100% win record from their single fixture. Looking at goals, Morocco have hit Over 1.5 in 100% of their games and Over 2.5 in 100% of them, though they haven't seen Over 3.5 goals in any. Both Teams To Score has landed in 100% of Morocco's matches. Neither side managed a clean sheet in their last encounter. In their most recent head-to-head on 25 March 2023, Morocco defeated Brazil 2-1.