Brazil vs Norway Prediction & Betting Tips | 5 July 2026

Match Preview

MetLife Stadium is set to stage a highly anticipated World Cup knockout tie, with Brazil and Norway vying for a spot in the quarter-finals. Brazil once again demonstrated their grit by overcoming a deficit to defeat Japan 2-1 in the previous round. Manager Carlo Ancelotti might face dilemmas in the midfield department, as Lucas Paqueta is unlikely to shake off a muscle injury, and Casemiro is also a significant doubt. Nevertheless, Brazil are still considered strong contenders for the trophy, having secured victory in seven of their last ten fixtures, netting an average of 2.4 goals and registering an expected goals (xG) figure of 1.77 per game. The Selecao have managed to score in each of their last ten outings, showcasing the breadth of their attacking talent. Norway, on their part, advanced following a thrilling 2-1 victory over Ivory Coast, with Erling Haaland netting the crucial late winner. Fredrik Aursnes may be reinstated into the starting lineup, with the remainder of the squad reporting fit. Norway have emerged victorious in six of their last ten matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored, but they have also let in an average of 1.4 goals per game. Their games have been consistently exciting, with the net bulging at both ends in 90% of their last ten encounters, and they average 3.7 total goals per match. Given the Selecao's superior quality and experience in crucial situations, we are leaning towards a Home Win. Furthermore, bets on Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals present excellent value, considering both sides average in excess of 3.3 total goals per match in their recent form. This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Sunday 5 July 2026, kicking off at 21:00.

Brazil Team Form and Stats

Brazil's recent performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions shows a strong record. They've secured 2.30 points per game overall, with a breakdown of 2.22 at home and an impressive 3.00 away.

Looking at the win percentages, Brazil have a 70% win rate overall, 67% at home, and a perfect 100% away. Their goal-scoring record is equally robust, averaging 3.30 goals per game overall, 3.33 at home, and 3.00 on the road. They've scored an average of 2.40 goals per game overall, 2.33 at home, and 3.00 away, while conceding just 0.90 overall, 1.00 at home, and none away.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 70% of their overall matches, 78% at home, and 0% away. Clean sheets have been kept in 30% of games overall, 22% at home, and 100% away. They have not failed to score in any of their last 10 matches, with a 0% failure rate across all categories. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.77 overall, 1.72 at home, and 2.25 away. Conversely, their expected goals against (xGA) are 1.12 overall, 1.07 at home, and 1.51 away.

Norway Team Form and Stats

Norway's recent form across their last 10 outings in all competitions shows a pattern of: w w l d w d w w l w. They've averaged 2.00 points per game overall. At home, their record stands as: w d w w l, also averaging 2.00 points per game. Away from home, they've achieved: w l d w w, again with an average of 2.00 points per game. Their win percentage sits at 60% across all matches, and this figure is consistent for both home and away fixtures. On average, they've scored 3.70 goals per game overall, with 3.80 at home and 3.60 away. Their scoring rate is 2.30 per game overall, 2.20 at home, and 2.40 on the road. They've conceded 1.40 goals per game overall, 1.60 at home, and 1.20 away. Both teams to score has been a feature in 90% of their overall games, 80% at home, and 100% away. They've kept a clean sheet in 10% of their overall matches, 20% at home, and 0% away. Conversely, they've failed to score in 10% of their overall games, 20% at home, and 0% away. Their expected goals (xG) figure is 1.41 overall, 1.59 at home, and 1.23 away. Expected goals against (xGA) stands at 1.40 overall, 1.37 at home, and 1.43 away.

Brazil vs Norway Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There are no historical head-to-head statistics for these two clubs.