Colombia vs Ghana Prediction & Betting Tips | 4 July 2026

Match Preview

Colombia and Ghana will lock horns at Arrowhead Stadium in what promises to be an intriguing World Cup last-32 encounter, with the teams heading into this knockout tie having experienced very different fortunes in the group stage. Colombia, nicknamed Los Cafeteros, arrive having navigated their group games without defeat, securing victories over Uzbekistan and DR Congo, and a goalless draw against Portugal, a game where they registered an impressive 24 attempts on goal. Daniel Muñoz and Luis Suarez are anticipated to feature from the off, but the primary attacking danger will once again come from Bayern Munich's star, Luis Díaz. Colombia have emerged victorious in six of their last ten fixtures, netting an average of 1.6 goals per match while conceding only 0.8, supported by a robust 1.75 expected goals (xG) and under 1.0 expected goals against, demonstrating a well-rounded defensive and offensive capability. Ghana, on the other hand, progressed despite a 2-1 reversal against Croatia, having found consistency elusive during their group stage campaign. Their forward line has been a source of concern, averaging a mere 0.6 goals per game over their last ten outings. Nevertheless, Ernest Nuamah is making a strong case for a starting place following a commendable performance against Croatia, and Antoine Semenyo is expected to be available despite a recent knock. In defence, the Black Stars have managed to keep opponents at bay on just three occasions in ten matches, indicating a degree of susceptibility when facing more formidable opponents. Given Colombia's superior balance and more impressive defensive and attacking metrics, a Home Win appears to be a strong consideration. Furthermore, bets on Colombia to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals are also advised (Colombia's measured approach and Ghana's modest scoring record point towards a closely fought contest). This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Saturday 4 July 2026, kicking off at 02:30.

Colombia Team Form and Stats

Colombia's recent performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions shows a mixed bag of results. Their overall form reads as: draw, win, win, lose, lose, win, win, win, win, draw, yielding an average of 2.00 points per game. At home, their record is stronger: win, win, lose, lose, win, win, win, draw, also averaging 2.00 points per game. Away from home, their form is: draw, win, with an average of 2.00 points per game.

Looking at the statistics:

* **Win Percentage:** 60% overall, 63% at home, and 50% away.

* **Average Goals Per Game:** 2.40 overall, 2.50 at home, and 2.00 away.

* **Goals Scored:** 1.60 overall, 1.63 at home, and 1.50 away.

* **Goals Conceded:** 0.80 overall, 0.88 at home, and 0.50 away.

* **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** 50% across all categories (overall, home, and away).

* **Clean Sheets:** 50% across all categories.

* **Failed to Score:** 20% overall, 13% at home, and 50% away.

* **Expected Goals (xG):** 1.75 overall, 1.95 at home, and 1.06 away.

* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** 0.94 overall, 0.99 at home, and 0.77 away.

Ghana Team Form and Stats

Looking at Ghana's performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, their recent form has been a mixed bag. They've managed 0.80 points per game on average overall, with a solid 3.00 points per game at home, though their away record sees them picking up just 0.25 points per game.

In terms of wins, Ghana boast a 20% win rate overall. This is significantly boosted by a perfect 100% win record in their home matches, contrasting sharply with a 0% win rate away from home.

On average, Ghana score 2.10 goals per game overall, with 1.00 goal per game at home and 2.38 goals per game on the road. Defensively, they concede 1.50 goals per game overall, tightening up to 0.00 goals conceded at home, but shipping 1.88 goals per game away.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has occurred in 40% of their games overall, with no BTTS at home (0%) but happening in 50% of their away fixtures. Clean sheets are recorded in 30% of their matches overall, a perfect 100% at home, and 13% away. Conversely, they've failed to score in 40% of their overall matches, never failing to score at home (0%), but drawing a blank in 50% of their away games.

Expected Goals (xG) suggest Ghana create chances worth 0.71 overall, with 0.67 xG at home and 0.72 xG away. Their Expected Goals Against (xGA) stand at 1.47 overall, a much healthier 0.83 at home, but rising to 1.63 away.

Colombia vs Ghana Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There's no prior record of matches between these two clubs.