Croatia vs Ghana Prediction & Betting Tips | 27 June 2026

Match Preview

Lincoln Financial Field is set for a nail-biting conclusion to Group L as Croatia and Ghana lock horns for a spot in the World Cup knockout rounds. With a single point likely to be enough for both sides, our forecast is for a 1-1 stalemate. Croatia significantly improved their chances of advancing following a tough 1-0 win against Panama, with substitute Ante Budimir emerging as the match-winner. The Osasuna forward is now anticipated to be in the starting XI. Manager Zlatko Dalic has no new injury setbacks, meaning midfield maestros Luka Modric and Mateo Kovacic are expected to pull the strings once more. Croatia boast a strong recent record, having won six of their last ten outings, and possess the vital experience for high-stakes fixtures. Ghana, on the other hand, have surpassed predictions thus far. Victories over Panama and a creditable draw with England have placed the Black Stars in a commanding position heading into their final group fixture. Antoine Semenyo and Inaki Williams are their primary attacking outlets, though Williams must tread carefully as a further yellow card would see him suspended. The away side has no fresh injury concerns ahead of their clash with Croatia. The fact that Ghana are averaging just 1.00 goals per game supports our betting tip. Given that both teams only need a point, an overly adventurous approach from either side is unlikely. Consequently, we fancy a Draw, coupled with a Half-Time Draw and Under 2.5 goals. This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Saturday 27 June 2026, kicking off at 22:00.

Croatia Team Form and Stats

In their last 10 outings across all competitions, Croatia have put together a record of 6 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses. They're averaging 1.90 points per game overall.

At home, their recent form reads as 3 wins and 1 loss from their last 4 matches, with a strong average of 2.25 points collected per home fixture.

On the road, Croatia's record in their last 6 games shows 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat, yielding an average of 1.67 points per away match.

Looking at the statistics:

Their overall win percentage stands at 60%, rising to an impressive 75% when playing on home turf, and dropping to 50% in away games.

On average, Croatia score 3.10 goals per game in all matches, with 3.00 at home and 3.17 away. They've netted an average of 1.70 goals per game overall, 2.00 at home, and 1.50 away. They are conceding 1.40 goals per game overall, 1.00 at home, and 1.67 away.

Both Teams To Score has occurred in 60% of their matches overall, 50% at home, and 67% away.

Clean sheets have been kept in 30% of their games overall, 25% at home, and 33% away.

Croatia have failed to score in 20% of their matches overall, 25% at home, and 17% away.

Their Expected Goals (xG) figure is 1.57 overall, 2.12 at home, and 1.20 away. Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.21 overall, 0.77 at home, and 1.50 away.

Ghana Team Form and Stats

Looking at Ghana's recent performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, their form has been a mixed bag. They've secured wins in their last two outings, breaking a run of three losses and two draws. Prior to that, they had another win and two draws. This translates to an average of 1.10 points per game overall.

At home, the Black Stars have been impressive, winning their last two matches and averaging a strong 3.00 points per game. However, their away form tells a different story, with only one win and seven defeats, alongside two draws, giving them just 0.63 points per game on the road.

Digging into the statistics, Ghana's overall win percentage stands at 30%. This figure jumps to a perfect 100% when playing on home turf, but drops to a considerably lower 13% away from home.

On average, Ghana score 2.30 goals per game overall. This average is 1.00 at home and a high 2.63 away. Defensively, they concede 1.30 goals per game overall, conceding 0.00 at home and 1.63 away.

Both teams to score has been a successful bet in 30% of their overall matches, rising to 38% away from home, but a stark 0% at home. Clean sheets have been recorded in 40% of their games, a perfect 100% at home, and 25% away. Conversely, they have failed to find the net in 40% of their matches overall, and 50% of their away fixtures, though this is 0% at home.

Their expected goals (xG) for stands at 0.94 overall, 0.67 at home, and 1.01 away. Their expected goals against (xGA) is 1.41 overall, 0.83 at home, and 1.55 away.

Croatia vs Ghana Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There is no prior head-to-head information on record for these two clubs.