Ecuador
Curacao21 June 2026 · Kick-off 01:00 · Stadium of Ecuador
Ecuador are aiming to recover their World Cup momentum as they prepare to face Curacao in their second Group E fixture. Considering the considerable gulf in class and experience separating the two teams, we're anticipating a 3-0 victory for the home side. Despite a tight 1-0 loss against Ivory Coast in their opening game, Sebastian Beccacece's squad can draw significant encouragement from their display. La Tri were arguably the more dominant team for extended periods and hit the woodwork three times, ultimately undone by a touch of bad luck and a late strike from their opponents. Union Saint-Gilloise attacker Kevin Rodriguez is making a case for a starting spot following a lively contribution off the bench, and Beccacece has no new injury worries ahead of this vital clash. Curacao, on the other hand, endured a difficult start to the competition, suffering a comprehensive 7-1 defeat at the hands of Germany. Dick Advocaat's outfit has found life on the road tough lately, securing only one win in their last six away games and leaking an concerning average of 3.0 goals per match. While Curacao do possess an attacking capability, netting an average of 2.0 goals per game in their last ten fixtures, their defensive frailties were starkly laid bare by Germany and could prove to be their undoing once more. Forward Jeremy Antonisse is in contention for a starting role. Given that La Tri were unfortunate in their opener and possess superior quality to Curacao, a Home Win looks like a solid selection, as does Ecuador to win both halves and for there to be over 2.5 goals in total (Curacao's games are averaging 4.1 goals, and Ecuador are expected to create numerous opportunities). This World Cup 2026 encounter is scheduled for Sunday 21 June 2026, kicking off at 01:00.
Looking at Ecuador's performance across their last 10 outings in all competitions, they've secured 1.70 points per game overall. Their recent form shows a W D D D W D D W W L record.
At home, Ecuador have been formidable, boasting a perfect win record (W W W W) and averaging an impressive 3.00 points per game. Conversely, their away form presents a different picture with a D D D D D L sequence, yielding just 0.83 points per game on the road.
Their overall statistics reveal a 40% win rate, with a strong home win percentage of 100% contrasted by 0% away wins. They average 1.80 goals per game overall, with 2.25 at home and 1.50 away. Defensively, they concede 0.60 goals per game overall, 0.25 at home, and 0.83 away. Both Teams To Score has landed in 50% of their overall matches, 25% at home, and 67% away. Clean sheets have been kept in 40% of their games overall, 75% at home, and 17% away. They've failed to score in 20% of their matches overall, not at all at home, and in 33% of away fixtures. Expected Goals (xG) stand at 1.37 overall, 1.86 at home, and 1.05 away. Their Expected Goals Against (xGA) are 0.99 overall, 0.84 at home, and 1.08 away.
Curacao's recent form across their last 10 outings in all competitions shows a mixed bag. Overall, they've managed a points-per-game average of 1.40, with a record of: W W D W D L L L W L.
At home, their record is considerably stronger, boasting an average of 2.50 points per game, with the results: W W D W. Away from home, however, their form dips, averaging just 0.67 points per game, with a sequence of: W D L L L L.
Looking at the statistics:
Their overall win percentage stands at 40%, with a significantly higher 75% win rate on home turf and just 17% away.
On average, there have been 4.10 goals per game in their matches overall. This breaks down to 3.25 goals per game at home and a higher 4.67 goals per game when they are the away side.
They are scoring, on average, 2.00 goals per game overall, 2.50 at home, and 1.67 away.
Goals conceded per game are 2.10 overall, a tight 0.75 at home, and a more porous 3.00 away.
Both Teams to Score has occurred in 50% of their matches across the board, and this figure remains consistent for home and away games.
Clean sheets are being kept in 40% of their overall matches, 50% at home, and 33% away.
They have failed to score in 20% of their overall games, with this figure dropping to 0% at home and rising to 33% away.
Expected Goals (xG) for Curacao sit at 1.25 overall, 0.80 at home, and 1.41 away.
Expected Goals Against (xGA) are 1.71 overall, 1.74 at home, and 1.70 away.
There are no prior encounters on record for these two sides.
| Market | Tip | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Correct Score | 3-0 | 5.50 |
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | No | 1.30 |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.25 |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.62 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.53 |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.17 |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Enner Valencia | 1.73 |
| First Goalscorer | Enner Valencia | 4.00 |
| To be Booked | Juninho Bacuna | 3.00 |
| Asian Handicap | Ecuador -2 | 1.50 |
| European Handicap | Ecuador -2 | 1.95 |
| Shots on Target (Home) | Over 7.5 | — |
| Shots on Target (Away) | Under 2.5 | — |
| Shots on Target (Total) | Over 7.5 | — |
| Total Corners | 9 - 11 | 2.63 |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1.05 |
| Draw No Bet | Ecuador to Win | 1.02 |
| Half Time/Full Time | Ecuador to Win/Ecuador to Win | 1.40 |
| Clean Sheet | Ecuador - Yes | 1.33 |