France vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips | 9 July 2026

Match Preview

Gillette Stadium is set to host a mouth-watering World Cup last-16 encounter between France and Morocco. With Morocco facing a depleted squad, our tip suggests a 2-0 victory for the home side. France, who scraped past Paraguay 1-0 in the previous round thanks to a Kylian Mbappe penalty, demonstrated once more why they are considered strong contenders for the title. Aurelien Tchouameni is vying for a starting spot, and Didier Deschamps has his full complement of players fit. France boasts an impressive recent record, winning nine of their last ten fixtures across all competitions, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game and registering an xG of 2.13 at the 2026 World Cup, highlighting their potent attack. Morocco secured their passage to the knockout rounds with a comfortable 3-0 win against Canada. However, the significant injury to Ismael Saibari is a considerable setback, with Soufiane Rahimi anticipated to step into the attack. The Atlas Lions have also been performing strongly, going unbeaten in their last ten outings and conceding only 0.7 goals per match. Despite this, France emerged victorious against Morocco with a 2-0 scoreline at the 2022 World Cup and appear to possess the superior talent to prevail once again. Given France's nine wins in their last ten games and Saibari's absence for Morocco, a Home Win is a strong consideration, as is Mbappe to Score and Under 3.5 goals (Morocco's defence is solid, and tight knockout games between elite teams are common). This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Thursday 9 July 2026, kicking off at 21:00.

France Team Form and Stats

France's recent performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions shows a strong record.

**Recent Form:**

Their results in the last 10 matches are: w w w l w w w w w w.

This translates to an average of 2.70 points per game overall.

**Home Form:**

At home, their record is: l w w w w, with an average of 2.40 points per game.

**Away Form:**

Away from home, they've been formidable: w w w w w, averaging 3.00 points per game.

**Key Statistics:**

| Stat | Overall | Home | Away |

| :------------------- | :------ | :---- | :---- |

| Win % | 90% | 80% | 100% |

| Average Goals Per Game | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 |

| Goals Scored | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.60 |

| Goals Conceded | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.80 |

| BTTS % | 70% | 60% | 80% |

| Clean Sheets % | 30% | 40% | 20% |

| Failed to Score % | 0% | 0% | 0% |

| Expected Goals | 1.98 | 2.24 | 1.71 |

| Expected Goals Against | 0.88 | 0.70 | 1.06 |

Morocco Team Form and Stats

Morocco have been performing well recently, with a strong record over their last 10 games across all competitions. Their form reads as follows: D, W, W, W, D, D, W, W, D, W. They've averaged 2.20 points per game overall. At home, their form is D, W, W, W, D, W, achieving an average of 2.33 points per game. On the road, they've managed D, W, D, W, securing 2.00 points per game.

Looking at the statistics:

Overall, Morocco boast a 60% win rate, with this figure rising to 67% at home and standing at 50% away. They're averaging 3.00 goals per game in total, 3.67 at home, and 2.00 away. Their scoring rate is 2.30 goals per game overall, 2.83 at home, and 1.50 away. Defensively, they concede just 0.70 goals per game overall, 0.83 at home, and 0.50 away. Both Teams To Score has occurred in 60% of their matches overall, 67% at home, and 50% away. They've kept clean sheets in 40% of their games overall, 33% at home, and 50% away. Worryingly, they have failed to score in 0% of their matches, both overall, at home, and away. Their Expected Goals (xG) for stand at 1.51 overall, 1.76 at home, and 1.20 away. Their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 0.97 overall, 0.90 at home, and 1.06 away.

France vs Morocco Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

France, boasting a perfect 100% win record from their single encounter, are 100% likely to have won that match. Morocco, on the other hand, have a 0% win rate from their one meeting. When looking at goal markets, France have featured in 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals, though 0% of games have exceeded 2.5 or 3.5 goals. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has also occurred in 0% of their previous clashes. France have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their games, while Morocco have managed 0%.

France vs Morocco: Previous Result

14 December 2022: France 2 Morocco 0