France vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips | 16 June 2026

Match Preview

France and Senegal lock horns at MetLife Stadium in a fixture many have eagerly awaited to kick off their World Cup journeys. Didier Deschamps' Les Bleus will be keen to put behind them a disappointing 2-1 friendly loss to Ivory Coast, a game that highlighted a few areas for concern before the tournament. The French squad will be without goalkeeper Lucas Chevalier, midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, and forward Randal Kolo Muani, all of whom missed the cut for the World Cup squad. Nevertheless, France have been in fine fettle, securing victory in eight of their last ten outings and netting an average of 2.4 goals per match. As ever, the spotlight will be firmly on Kylian Mbappe, who is expected to cause significant trouble for Senegal's defence.

Senegal, on the other hand, arrive buoyed by a strong run of recent performances. The West African nation has also emerged victorious in eight of their last ten fixtures, finding the net twice per game on average and preserving their clean sheet in 60% of those contests. Spearheaded by established talents like Sadio Mane and a disciplined backline, Senegal will feel they can pose a real threat to France. The Lions of Teranga can also take heart from their memorable 1-0 triumph over France in the pair's sole previous World Cup encounter. While Senegal possess undeniable quality, France's squad depth is superior, and they've won eight of their last ten matches. Consequently, backing a Home Win appears a strong contender, along with Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals in the match (France's games average 3.2 total goals, and Senegal's average 2.6, pointing towards an attacking affair). This World Cup 2026 clash is scheduled for Tuesday 16 June 2026, with kick-off at 20:00.

France Team Form and Stats

France have been in excellent shape recently, with their last 10 outings across all competitions showing a strong performance. They've secured a formidable 2.50 points per game on average overall. At home, their record is equally impressive, averaging 2.25 points per game. On the road, they've continued this winning momentum, picking up an average of 2.67 points per game.

Looking at their win percentages, France have been victorious in 80% of their overall matches, with a 75% success rate in home fixtures and an outstanding 83% on their travels. Their goal-scoring prowess is evident, averaging 3.20 goals per game overall, 3.25 at home, and 3.17 away. They've been finding the net regularly, with an average of 2.40 goals scored per game overall, 2.50 at home, and 2.33 on the road. Defensively, they've been solid, conceding just 0.80 goals per game overall, 0.75 at home, and 0.83 away. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has occurred in 60% of their matches overall, 50% at home, and 67% away. They've kept clean sheets in 40% of their overall games, 50% at home, and 33% away. Encouragingly, they haven't failed to score in any of their last 10 matches (0% failure rate overall, at home, and away). Their Expected Goals (xG) stand at 2.14 overall, a high 2.68 at home, and 1.78 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) are low, at 0.89 overall, an impressive 0.48 at home, and 1.16 away.

Senegal Team Form and Stats

Senegal have been in impressive form over their last 10 outings across all competitions, picking up 25 points for an average of 2.50 points per game. Their home record is particularly strong, with a win rate of 86% contributing to an average of 2.71 points per game. Away from home, they've still managed a solid 2.00 points per game, despite a slightly lower win percentage of 67%.

Overall, Senegal boast an 80% win rate, scoring an average of 2.60 goals per game while conceding just 0.60. At home, they score 2.43 goals on average and let in only 0.43, with a win rate of 86%. Their away form sees them score 3.00 goals per game and concede 1.00, with a 67% win rate.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 40% of their matches overall, rising to 43% at home and dropping to 33% away. They've kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games overall, 57% at home, and 67% away. Worryingly for opponents, Senegal have failed to score in 0% of their matches across all categories. Their Expected Goals (xG) stand at 1.81 overall, 1.96 at home and 1.48 away, with Expected Goals Against (xGA) at 1.03 overall, 1.02 at home and 1.04 away.

France vs Senegal Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

France (0%) have played 1 match, with 0% wins and 0% draws, resulting in 0% of matches won. Senegal (100%) have played 1 match, with 0% wins.

Regarding goal markets for France vs Senegal:

Over 1.5 goals occurred in 0 out of 1 matches (0%).

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 0 out of 1 matches (0%).

Over 3.5 goals occurred in 0 out of 1 matches (0%).

Both Teams to Score occurred in 0 out of 1 matches (0%).

Clean sheets were kept by France in 100% of matches.

Clean sheets were kept by Senegal in 0% of matches.

France vs Senegal Head-to-Head Record:

31 May 2002: France 0 - 1 Senegal