France vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips | 14 July 2026

Match Preview

A place in the 2026 World Cup final four is up for grabs as France face Spain at AT&T Stadium. France arrive for Tuesday's clash having navigated the tournament faultlessly, following a straightforward 2-0 triumph over Morocco in the quarter-finals. Given that this encounter feels like a de facto final, a 1-1 draw is a tempting prospect. Didier Deschamps’ charges have been sharp in attack, with Kylian Mbappe already netting eight goals and spearheading a frontline that has averaged 2.5 goals per outing over their last 10 fixtures. France have secured victory in 90% of those games, averaging 3.2 total goals scored while letting in just 0.7 per match. The return of Aurelien Tchouameni from injury provides an additional significant lift as Les Bleus aim to reach another final. Spain secured their semi-final berth through a thrilling 2-1 victory against Belgium, with Mikel Merino’s late goal proving decisive. Fabian Ruiz is anticipated to keep his starting position after scoring the opener, while Pedri might once again be named amongst the substitutes. Lamine Yamal continues to be Spain's primary attacking threat, even if he hasn't quite hit his peak form. Spain have won 70% of their last 10 matches, keeping seven clean sheets and conceding a mere 0.3 goals per game. The last five encounters between these two nations have seen over 2.5 goals scored in four of them, but a more restrained game is expected on this occasion. With offensive talents such as Kylian Mbappe and Lamine Yamal on the field, both teams possess the ability to fashion opportunities. Considering that both sides have managed to score in every single one of their last ten matches across all competitions, Both Teams to Score is our primary recommendation for this fixture. Furthermore, bets on Mbappe to Score and France or Draw appear attractive, as les Tricolores are looking formidable right now. This 2026 World Cup fixture is scheduled for Tuesday 14 July 2026, kicking off at 20:00.

France Team Form and Stats

Looking at France's recent form across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, they've been in impressive shape. Their results read as a strong sequence of W W L W W W W W W W, yielding an average of 2.70 points per game overall.

At home, their record is also very solid, with L W W W W W to their name, giving them 2.50 points per game on their own turf. On the road, France have been exceptional, showcasing a W W W W record and averaging a superb 3.00 points per game.

Drilling down into the statistics, France boast a formidable 90% win rate overall, which is 83% at home and a perfect 100% away. They're scoring goals for fun, averaging 3.20 per game in total, with 3.17 at home and 3.25 on their travels. Their strike force is netting 2.50 goals on average, a figure consistent across overall, home, and away matches. Defensively, they're conceding a mere 0.70 goals per game overall, tightening up to 0.67 at home and 0.75 away. Both Teams To Score has landed in 60% of their overall games, dropping to 50% at home but rising to 75% away. Clean sheets have been kept in 40% of their matches overall, 50% at home, and 25% away. Encouragingly, they haven't failed to score in 0% of their games, home or away. Their Expected Goals (xG) stand at 2.02 overall, 2.26 at home, and 1.66 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) are well managed at 0.90 overall, 0.69 at home, and 1.22 away.

Spain Team Form and Stats

Spain's performance in their most recent 10 fixtures across all competitions shows a strong record. They've achieved a points-per-game average of 2.40 overall. At home, this figure stands at 2.14, and when playing away, they've averaged an impressive 3.00 points per game.

Looking at their statistics, Spain boasts a 70% win rate overall, with 57% of those wins coming on home turf and a perfect 100% away win record. They're scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game overall, with 2.14 at home and 2.00 away. Their scoring average per game is 1.80 overall, 1.86 at home, and 1.67 away. Defensively, they're conceding just 0.30 goals per game on average, 0.29 at home and 0.33 away. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 30% of their matches overall, 29% at home, and 33% away. Clean sheets have been a common feature, with 70% achieved overall, 71% at home, and 67% away. They've failed to score in just 20% of their overall games, rising to 29% at home and 0% away. Their expected goals (xG) are 2.04 overall, 2.42 at home, and 1.15 away, while their expected goals against (xGA) are 0.60 overall, 0.48 at home, and 0.88 away.

France vs Spain Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

France have won 40% of their last 5 matches, with 2 wins and 0 draws, compared to Spain's 60% win rate in the same period.

Looking at goal stats for these encounters:

Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 100% of Spain's last 5 games.

Over 2.5 goals have featured in 80% of Spain's last 5.

Over 3.5 goals have occurred in 40% of Spain's last 5.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has happened in 80% of Spain's last 5 games.

France have kept a clean sheet in 20% of their recent matches, while Spain have managed 0% in this regard.

Recent Head-to-Head record between France and Spain:

5 June 2025: Spain 5 France 4

9 July 2024: Spain 2 France 1

10 October 2021: Spain 1 France 2

28 March 2017: France 0 Spain 2

27 June 2006: Spain 1 France 3