Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips | 30 June 2026

Match Preview

Estadio BBVA is the stage for a mouth-watering World Cup encounter between the Netherlands and Morocco. With both sides appearing to be on a par heading into this round of 32 fixture, we're anticipating a 1-1 stalemate. The Dutch have put in some strong performances in Group F, overcoming Sweden and Tunisia and drawing with Japan. Brian Brobbey is likely to continue spearheading the attack, having already bagged three goals in the competition. The Oranje boast a record of six wins from their last ten games, netting an average of 2.4 goals and conceding an average of 3.3 in total per match. Jurrien Timber is still unavailable due to injury. Morocco have also caught the eye, beating Scotland and Haiti and securing a commendable 1-1 draw against Brazil to finish top of their section. Ayyoub Bouaddi, Issa Diop, and Azzedine Ounahi are back in contention for Morocco after being rested for their last group fixture. In their last ten outings, Morocco have a stingy defence, conceding just 0.7 goals on average, whilst scoring 1.9, demonstrating their effectiveness at both ends. Given how closely matched these two well-drilled teams are, a draw looks a strong possibility, with added appeal in the Morocco or Draw and Both Teams to Score markets, given the attacking firepower on display. This World Cup 2026 clash is scheduled for Tuesday 30 June 2026, kicking off at 02:00.

Netherlands Team Form and Stats

Looking at the Netherlands' recent performances across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, their form reads as follows: W, D, W, W, D, L, W, D, W, W, accumulating an average of 2.10 points per game overall.

At home, their record in the last 10 matches is: W, W, W, D, L, W, D, W, W, with an average of 2.13 points picked up per fixture.

On the road, their form over the last 10 games is: D, W, with an average of 2.00 points per game.

Breaking down the statistics:

Their overall win percentage stands at 60%, while at home it's 63%, and away from home it's 50%.

They've been averaging 3.30 goals per game overall, with 3.38 at home and 3.00 away.

Goals scored average 2.40 overall, 2.50 at home, and 2.00 away.

Goals conceded average 0.90 overall, 0.88 at home, and 1.00 away.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has occurred in 70% of matches overall, 63% at home, and 100% away.

Clean sheets have been kept in 20% of games overall, 25% at home, and 0% away.

They have failed to score in 10% of matches overall, 13% at home, and 0% away.

Expected Goals (xG) for the Netherlands is 1.63 overall, 1.59 at home, and 1.81 away.

Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.10 overall, 1.07 at home, and 1.23 away.

Morocco Team Form and Stats

Looking at Morocco's performance over their last 10 fixtures across all competitions, their form reads as follows: D, L, D, W, W, W, D, D, W, W. This averages out to 1.90 points per game overall.

At home, their record in the same timeframe is: D, W, W, W, D, W, yielding an average of 2.33 points per game.

Away from home, their last 10 results show: D, L, D, W, giving them an average of 1.25 points per game.

Digging into the stats:

Their overall win percentage stands at 50%. At home, this figure rises to 67%, but drops to 25% when playing away.

On average, Morocco score 2.60 goals per game in all competitions. This is particularly impressive at home, where they net 3.67 goals per game, compared to just 1.00 goal per game away.

Their defensive record sees them concede 0.70 goals per game overall. At home, they let in 0.83 goals per game, and away, they concede 0.50 goals per game.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 50% of their matches overall, rising to 67% at home and standing at 25% away.

Clean sheets have been kept in 40% of their games overall. This figure is 33% at home and a respectable 50% away.

They have failed to score in 20% of their matches overall. This drops to 0% at home, but rises to 50% when they are on the road.

Expected Goals (xG) for Morocco average 1.68 overall. This is 1.76 at home and 1.57 away.

Expected Goals Against (xGA) stands at 0.96 overall, 0.91 at home, and 1.01 away.

Netherlands vs Morocco Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

Netherlands have a perfect 100% win record from their last 1 match played, with no draws or losses. In contrast, Morocco have won 0% of their last 1 match. Looking at goal markets for Netherlands vs Morocco, 100% of their previous encounters saw over 1.5 goals, and 100% saw over 2.5 goals. However, 0% of matches featured over 3.5 goals. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) occurred in 100% of their past meetings. Neither side has managed a clean sheet against the other in recent history. Their last fixture on 31 May 2017 ended with Morocco 1 Netherlands 2.