Netherlands vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips | 20 June 2026

Match Preview

NRG Stadium is set to be the venue for a significant World Cup Group F encounter between the Netherlands and Sweden, with both nations aiming to improve their prospects of progressing to the knockout rounds. Considering that both teams are expected to favour an offensive strategy, our prediction is a 2-2 draw. The Dutch were left disappointed in their opening fixture when Japan managed to secure a point with a late equaliser. Experienced forward Memphis Depay is in contention to start, though he, along with Micky van de Ven and Crysencio Summerville, is one yellow card away from a suspension. Overall, the Netherlands have been performing well, securing victory in 60% of their last ten outings, scoring an average of 2.3 goals per game and letting in just 0.9. Sweden, on the other hand, had a superb start to the tournament, defeating Tunisia 5-1. The formidable attacking partnership of Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak was on full display, and Graham Potter will once again be looking to them for inspiration. Nevertheless, defender Gabriel Gudmundsson is a doubt after sustaining an injury during their first match. Despite their convincing win against Tunisia, Sweden's recent form over a longer period has been less impressive, with just three wins in their last ten games and no clean sheets during that stretch. They are currently conceding an average of 1.9 goals per game, which could prove problematic against a potent Dutch attack. Sweden's matches typically see an average of 3.5 goals, while the Netherlands' games average 3.2 total goals. With the attacking talent on both sides, we are inclined to back Both Teams to Score, as well as Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals. This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Saturday 20 June 2026 with a kick-off time of 18:00.

Netherlands Team Form and Stats

Looking at the Netherlands' last ten outings across all competitions, their form has been largely positive. They've secured a respectable average of 2.10 points per game overall. At home, they've been particularly strong, averaging 2.00 points per game, and on their travels, they've managed an even better 2.33 points per game.

Their recent performance breaks down further:

**Overall:**

* **Win Percentage:** 60%

* **Average Goals Per Game:** 3.20

* **Goals Scored Per Game:** 2.30

* **Goals Conceded Per Game:** 0.90

* **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** 60%

* **Clean Sheets:** 30%

* **Failed to Score:** 10%

* **Expected Goals (xG):** 1.68

* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** 0.92

**Home:**

* **Win Percentage:** 57%

* **Average Goals Per Game:** 3.00

* **Goals Scored Per Game:** 2.14

* **Goals Conceded Per Game:** 0.86

* **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** 57%

* **Clean Sheets:** 29%

* **Failed to Score:** 14%

* **Expected Goals (xG):** 1.60

* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** 0.95

**Away:**

* **Win Percentage:** 67%

* **Average Goals Per Game:** 3.67

* **Goals Scored Per Game:** 2.67

* **Goals Conceded Per Game:** 1.00

* **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** 67%

* **Clean Sheets:** 33%

* **Failed to Score:** 0%

* **Expected Goals (xG):** 1.85

* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** 0.85

Sweden Team Form and Stats

Looking at Sweden's performance over their last ten fixtures across all tournaments, their recent form has been a mixed bag. Results read as: loss, loss, loss, loss, draw, win, win, loss, draw, win. This averages out to 1.10 points per game overall.

On home turf, their recent record shows: loss, loss, draw, win, draw, win, giving them an average of 1.33 points per game. Away from home, it's been: loss, loss, win, loss, with an average of 0.75 points per game.

Digging into the statistics:

* **Win Percentage:** Overall, they've secured a win in 30% of matches, with this figure rising slightly to 33% at home but dropping to 25% on their travels.

* **Average Goals:** Across all competitions, they've averaged 3.50 goals per game. This breaks down to 3.33 at home and 3.75 away.

* **Goals Scored:** They've netted an average of 1.60 goals per game overall, with 1.83 on home soil and 1.25 when playing away.

* **Goals Conceded:** Defensively, they've let in an average of 1.90 goals per game in total, 1.50 at home, and 2.50 away.

* **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** BTTS has occurred in 70% of their matches overall, 67% at home, and 75% away.

* **Clean Sheets:** They haven't managed a clean sheet in any of their last ten matches, with 0% recorded in all categories (overall, home, and away).

* **Failed to Score:** Conversely, they've failed to score in 30% of matches overall, 33% at home, and 25% away.

* **Expected Goals (xG):** Their expected goals figure stands at 1.26 overall, 1.31 at home, and 1.19 away.

* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** Their expected goals against is 1.50 overall, 1.42 at home, and 1.61 away.

Netherlands vs Sweden Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

Netherlands found the net in 50% of their last two outings, with 50% of those games seeing over 1.5 goals. Their record shows 1 win and 1 draw from those 2 matches. Sweden, on the other hand, haven't managed a win recently. In 2 matches, 50% saw both teams scoring. Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last 2 games.

Previous encounters:

10 October 2017: Netherlands 2 Sweden 0

6 September 2016: Sweden 1 Netherlands 1