New Zealand
Belgium27 June 2026 · Kick-off 04:00 · Stadium of New Zealand
Belgium are aiming to secure their progression to the World Cup's latter stages when they meet New Zealand at BC Place. This presents a prime opportunity for Roberto Martinez's squad to get back on track, and we're forecasting a 3-1 victory on the road. New Zealand displayed considerable grit against Egypt, but their defensive frailties again came back to haunt them in a 1-3 defeat. The All Whites have managed only one win in their last ten fixtures and are still searching for a clean sheet during that run. Chris Wood remains their primary attacking danger, and the unavailability of injured midfielder Matthew Garbett further hinders a team that has lacked consistency throughout the competition. Belgium, on the other hand, were left disappointed by a goalless stalemate with Iran, despite their dominance and 23 shots on goal. Rudi Garcia's team has generally performed well lately, netting an average of 2.6 goals per game over their last ten outings. Romelu Lukaku is anticipated to spearhead the attack once more, though Belgium will be missing the suspended defender Nathan Ngoy. Jeremy Doku is also questionable, as he might need to return home for the arrival of his child. Given Belgium's superior talent and their considerable motivation, we expect an Away Win, coupled with Belgium to score Over 1.5 goals and Romelu Lukaku to find the net. This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Saturday 27 June 2026, kicking off at 04:00.
Here's a look at New Zealand's recent performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions. Their results show a pattern of: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss. This averages out to 0.50 points per game overall.
At home, their record in the last 10 has been: Loss, Win, Loss, and they average 1.00 points per game on home turf. Away from home, their last 10 matches have yielded: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw, and they pick up an average of 0.29 points per game.
Breaking down the statistics:
* **Win Percentage:** Overall stands at 10%. At home, it's 33%, but it's 0% away from home.
* **Average Goals Per Game:** The team averages 2.80 goals per game overall. This rises to 3.67 at home and drops to 2.43 away.
* **Goals Scored:** They score an average of 0.90 goals per game overall, with 1.67 at home and just 0.57 away.
* **Goals Conceded:** New Zealand concede 1.90 goals per game overall, 2.00 at home, and 1.86 away.
* **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** This has happened in 50% of their overall matches, 67% at home, and 43% away.
* **Clean Sheets:** They have managed 0% clean sheets across all their recent games, both home and away.
* **Failed to Score:** New Zealand have failed to find the net in 50% of their matches overall, 33% at home, and 57% away.
* **Expected Goals (xG):** Their expected goals are 1.21 overall, 1.31 at home, and 1.17 away.
* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** They are expected to concede 1.91 goals per game overall, 1.31 at home, and 2.16 away.
Looking at Belgium's performance over their last 10 outings across all competitions, their form reads as follows: draws, wins, draws, wins, wins, draws, wins, wins, draws, draws. They've averaged 2.00 points per game overall.
At home, their record shows draws, wins, wins, draws, draws, with an average of 1.80 points per game. On the road, they've secured wins, draws, wins, draws, wins, accumulating 2.20 points per game.
Digging into the statistics:
* **Win Percentage:** Overall, they win 50% of their matches, with home wins at 40% and away wins at a more impressive 60%.
* **Average Goals Per Game:** They're netting an average of 3.30 goals per match in total, with 2.80 at home and a high of 3.80 on their travels.
* **Goals Scored:** Their scoring average is consistent at 2.60 goals per game, regardless of venue.
* **Goals Conceded:** Defensively, they're tight, letting in just 0.70 goals per game overall. This figure is even lower at home (0.20) but rises slightly away (1.20).
* **Both Teams To Score (BTTS):** The BTTS stat stands at 50% overall, with a lower 20% occurrence at home and a much higher 80% away.
* **Clean Sheets:** They're keeping clean sheets in 50% of their overall games. This is a strong 80% at home but drops to 20% away.
* **Failed to Score:** Belgium haven't failed to score in 80% of their games overall (meaning they've failed to score in 20%). This happens more often at home (40%) but never occurs away from home (0%).
* **Expected Goals (xG):** Their expected goals for the team are 2.21 overall, a healthy 2.73 at home, and 1.69 away.
* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** Conversely, their expected goals conceded are 0.88 overall, a very low 0.68 at home, and 1.09 away.
There is no prior head-to-head record for these two clubs.
| Market | Tip | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Correct Score | 1-3 | 13.00 |
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | Yes | 2.50 |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.20 |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.50 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.62 |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.20 |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Romelu Lukaku | 1.83 |
| First Goalscorer | Romelu Lukaku | 4.33 |
| To be Booked | Alex Rufer | 2.88 |
| Asian Handicap | Belgium -1.5 | 1.58 |
| European Handicap | Belgium -1 | 1.57 |
| Shots on Target (Home) | Over 2.5 | — |
| Shots on Target (Away) | Over 7.5 | — |
| Shots on Target (Total) | Over 9.5 | — |
| Total Corners | 9 - 11 | 2.63 |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1.10 |
| Draw No Bet | Belgium to Win | 1.05 |
| Half Time/Full Time | Belgium to Win/Belgium to Win | 1.62 |
| Clean Sheet | Belgium - No | 2.20 |