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Norway vs England Prediction & Betting Tips | 11 July 2026

NorwayNorway
vs
EnglandEngland

11 July 2026 · Kick-off 22:00 · Stadium of Norway

Our Prediction
Norway 1 - 2 England

Match Preview

Get ready for an electric atmosphere at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami as Norway and England battle it out in the World Cup quarter-finals. Norway delivered a shock result in the last 16, overcoming Brazil 2-1, with Erling Haaland netting a brace late on to secure the Scandinavians' spot in the final eight. From Benfica, Andreas Schjelderup and Fredrik Aursnes are strong contenders for starting berths after making a significant impact from the bench against Brazil. While Norway boast six wins from their last ten outings across all competitions, averaging 2.1 goals per game, it’s worth remembering they didn't create clear-cut chances until Haaland's 79th-minute opener against Brazil. England, on the other hand, narrowly overcame tournament hosts Mexico with a 3-2 victory in a pulsating last-16 clash. The Three Lions will be missing defender Jarell Quansah due to suspension following his red card, but Reece James is anticipated to be back, bolstering the defence. Harry Kane has been England's star man at the 2026 World Cup, having already scored six goals, and he'll pose the primary threat to Norway's backline once more. England have emerged victorious in seven of their last ten fixtures, conceding only 0.7 goals per game, which positions them as slight favourites to advance, despite Norway's strong recent form. Given England's superior squad depth and greater experience in high-stakes knockout ties, we're leaning towards an Away Win, coupled with Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals. Norway have seen Both Teams to Score land in nine of their last ten matches, and both sides possess potent attacking talent. This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Saturday 11 July 2026, kicking off at 22:00.

Norway Team Form and Stats

Looking at Norway's last 10 games across all competitions, their recent form reads: W L D W D W W L W W. They've averaged 2.00 points per game overall.

At home, their record in the last 10 is D W W L, bringing their average points per game to 1.75. On the road, it's W L D W W W, with a higher average of 2.17 points per game.

In terms of statistics over these 10 matches:

Their overall win percentage stands at 60%. At home, it's 50%, and away from home, they've won 67% of their games.

On average, Norway are scoring 2.10 goals per game overall, with 1.75 at home and 2.33 away. They're conceding 1.40 goals per game overall, 1.75 at home, and 1.17 away.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has occurred in 90% of their matches overall, 75% at home, and 100% away.

Clean sheets have been kept in 10% of their games overall, 25% at home, and 0% away.

They've failed to score in 10% of matches overall, 25% at home, and 0% away.

Expected Goals (xG) for Norway are 1.33 overall, 1.46 at home, and 1.26 away. Their Expected Goals Against (xGA) are 1.49 overall, 1.53 at home, and 1.47 away.

England Team Form and Stats

Here's a look at England's recent performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions:

Their overall record shows a strong run of form, with a points-per-game average of 2.30. Breaking this down, at home they've secured 2.00 points per game, while their away record is even more impressive, averaging 3.00 points per game.

Looking at the statistics:

* **Win Percentage:** England boasts a 70% win rate overall, with 57% of those wins coming at home and a perfect 100% on their travels.

* **Average Goals:** They average 2.50 goals per game in total, 2.29 at home, and a formidable 3.00 away.

* **Goals Scored/Conceded:** They score an average of 1.80 goals per game overall, 1.57 at home, and 2.33 away. Defensively, they are tight, conceding just 0.70 goals per game overall, 0.71 at home, and 0.67 away.

* **Both Teams to Score (BTTS):** This bet would have landed in 40% of their overall matches, 43% at home, and 33% away.

* **Clean Sheets:** England have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games overall, 43% at home, and 67% away.

* **Failed to Score:** They have failed to find the net in 20% of their matches overall, 29% at home, and 0% away.

* **Expected Goals (xG):** Their xG stands at 2.02 overall, 2.21 at home, and 1.56 away.

* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** They concede an expected 0.85 goals per game overall, 0.63 at home, and 1.36 away.

Norway vs England Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There is no prior head-to-head record for these two clubs to draw upon.

Norway vs England Betting Tips

MarketTipOdds
Correct Score1-29.00
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)Yes1.70
Over / Under 4.5 GoalsUnder 4.5 Goals1.14
Over / Under 3.5 GoalsUnder 3.5 Goals1.40
Over / Under 2.5 GoalsOver 2.5 Goals1.80
Over / Under 1.5 GoalsOver 1.5 Goals1.25
Anytime GoalscorerHarry Kane1.95
First GoalscorerHarry Kane4.75
To be BookedMorten Thorsby2.75
Asian HandicapEngland -0.51.88
European HandicapNorway +21.33
Shots on Target (Home)Over 2.5
Shots on Target (Away)Over 4.5
Shots on Target (Total)Over 7.5
Total Corners9 - 112.63
Double ChanceX21.25
Draw No BetEngland to Win1.36
Half Time/Full TimeEngland to Win/England to Win3.00
Clean SheetEngland - No1.40