Norway
Senegal23 June 2026 · Kick-off 01:00 · Stadium of Norway
MetLife Stadium is set to host what promises to be an intriguing encounter as Norwan and Senegal lock horns in their second Group I fixture. With both teams likely to consider a share of the spoils a satisfactory outcome, our prediction is for a 1-1 stalemate. The Scandinavian outfit made a blistering start to the tournament, thrashing Iraq 4-1. Erling Haaland was the undisputed star, netting twice and setting up another, with Martin Odegaard once again orchestrating matters in the engine room. Nevertheless, Norway's backline showed some frailties, particularly in the opening period, and manager Stale Solbakken will be demanding a more resolute performance. Oscar Bobb is vying for a starting berth after Alexander Sorloth failed to leave his mark against Iraq. Norway's recent games have been high-scoring affairs, with an average of 3.4 goals for and 4.3 total goals per match over their last ten outings. Senegal, on the other hand, succumbed to a 3-1 defeat against France in their opener, though the margin of defeat perhaps didn't do justice to their efforts. The Lions of Teranga put up a stern fight for considerable spells and caused the French defence a number of headaches, particularly in the first half. PSG prospect Ibrahim Mbaye is in the frame for a start after finding the net from the bench, and Everton forward Iliman Ndiaye is also a candidate for a recall. Despite their loss, Senegal maintain an impressive defensive record, conceding just 0.8 goals per game and recording six clean sheets in their last ten matches. Both Teams to Score has landed in 80% of Norway's last ten matches, and Senegal possess sufficient firepower to contribute. Consequently, we fancy Both Teams to Score, coupled with Haaland to Score and a Norway or Draw (in cracking form). This World Cup 2026 clash is scheduled for Tuesday 23 June 2026, kicking off at 01:00.
Norway's recent performances across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions show a strong track record. Their form reads as: Win, Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw, Win. They've averaged 2.10 points per game overall.
At home, Norway have been particularly impressive, with their form being: Win, Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Win, and they've collected an average of 2.33 points per game in front of their own fans. Away from home, their form is: Win, Loss, Draw, Win, resulting in an average of 1.75 points per game.
Looking at their statistics, Norway boasts an overall win percentage of 60%. This rises to 67% when playing at home, but drops to 50% when they travel. Their matches have been high-scoring affairs, with an average of 4.30 goals per game overall. This average is even higher at home (4.67) compared to away (3.75).
On average, they score 3.40 goals per game overall, with 4.00 scored at home and 2.50 scored on the road. Defensively, they concede 0.90 goals per game overall, with a tight 0.67 conceded at home and 1.25 conceded away. Both Teams to Score (BTTS) has occurred in 80% of their overall matches, rising to 100% when playing away and 67% at home.
Clean sheets have been kept in 20% of their overall games, 33% at home, and 0% away. Conversely, they have failed to score in just 10% of their overall matches, 17% at home, and 0% away. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.80 overall, 2.20 at home, and 1.21 away. Their expected goals against (xGA) are 1.04 overall, 0.81 at home, and 1.38 away.
Looking at Senegal's recent performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, their form is strong. They've secured a respectable 2.20 points per game on average. At home, they've been particularly dominant, winning every one of their last 5 matches, averaging 3.00 points per game. Their away form sees them winning 40% of matches, with an average of 1.40 points per game.
Overall, Senegal boast a 70% win rate, climbing to an impressive 100% at home and dropping to 40% on the road. They're scoring an average of 2.50 goals per game overall, with 2.40 at home and 2.60 away. Their attacking prowess sees them netting 1.70 goals per game on average, 2.00 at home and 1.40 away. Defensively, they're conceding just 0.80 goals per game, a mere 0.40 at home and 1.20 away. Both Teams To Score has occurred in 40% of their matches, consistent across home, away, and overall stats. Clean sheets have been a regular feature, with 60% of games seeing them shut out the opposition, again consistent across all categories. They've failed to score in only 10% of their overall matches, with 0% at home and 20% away. Their Expected Goals (xG) stand at 1.52 overall, 1.77 at home, and 1.26 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.19 overall, 1.18 at home, and 1.19 away.
There's no prior head-to-head record to consider for these two clubs.
| Market | Tip | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Correct Score | 1-1 | 6.50 |
| Both Teams to Score (BTTS) | Yes | 1.75 |
| Over / Under 4.5 Goals | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.11 |
| Over / Under 3.5 Goals | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.33 |
| Over / Under 2.5 Goals | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.91 |
| Over / Under 1.5 Goals | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.30 |
| Anytime Goalscorer | Erling Haaland | 1.91 |
| First Goalscorer | Erling Haaland | 4.00 |
| To be Booked | Pape Gueye | 3.50 |
| Asian Handicap | Senegal +0.5 | 1.60 |
| European Handicap | Senegal +1 | 1.57 |
| Shots on Target (Home) | Over 2.5 | — |
| Shots on Target (Away) | Over 2.5 | — |
| Shots on Target (Total) | Over 4.5 | — |
| Total Corners | 9 - 11 | 2.63 |
| Double Chance | X2 | 1.57 |
| Half Time/Full Time | X (Draw)/X (Draw) | 5.00 |
| Clean Sheet | Norway - No | 1.33 |