Panama vs England Prediction & Betting Tips | 27 June 2026

Match Preview

England are aiming to seal first place in Group L as they face Panama, who are already out of contention, in their final group fixture. It's a David versus Goliath scenario at MetLife Stadium, and we're anticipating a straightforward 3-0 victory for the away side. Panama are playing purely for pride, having suffered narrow losses to both Ghana and Croatia. Los Canaleros can feel hard done by, having lost 1-0 on both occasions and failing to secure at least a point from their initial two games. With their World Cup journey concluding, expect changes to the starting lineup from the home team, as Eric Davis, Cecilio Waterman, and Azarias Londono are all in contention for starts. While Panama have generally been competitive, it's worth noting their defensive record, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game over their last ten matches. England, on the other hand, were held to a goalless draw by Ghana after kicking off the tournament with a convincing 4-2 triumph over Croatia. Thomas Tuchel's team remain in a strong position, and a win here would confirm their group-topping status. Harry Kane continues to be the primary threat, following his brace against Croatia, with Bukayo Saka and Marcus Rashford both tipped to return to the starting lineup, injecting fresh impetus into the attack. Their expected goals (xG) of 2.28 at this major tournament is certainly boosting fan confidence ahead of the final group match. Considering the disparity in quality, squad depth, and motivation, England are expected to control possession and generate enough opportunities to finish the group stage with a convincing win. Therefore, an Away Win looks like a solid punt, as does England to Win to Nil and Over 2.5 goals (England's attacking firepower should create numerous chances against a team with no further objectives). This World Cup 2026 encounter is scheduled for Saturday 27 June 2026, kicking off at 22:00.

Panama Team Form and Stats

Looking at Panama's record over their last 10 fixtures across all competitions, their recent form shows a mixed bag. They've managed 1.20 points per game on average overall. At home, their form has been slightly better, yielding 1.40 points per match, while their away form has seen them pick up 1.00 point per game.

Digging into the statistics, Panama have a 30% win rate overall, improving to 40% on home turf but dropping to 20% on their travels. They're averaging 2.90 goals per game in total, with their home games seeing 2.60 goals on average and away matches featuring 3.20 goals. They've scored 1.40 goals per game overall, 1.60 at home, and 1.20 away. Defensively, they're conceding 1.50 goals per game overall, with a tighter record of 1.00 goal conceded per home game and 2.00 goals conceded on average away from home. Both teams to score has happened in 60% of their matches overall, a figure that rises to 80% in away fixtures but is only seen in 40% of their home games. Clean sheets have been a rarity, with Panama keeping just 10% of them overall, managing 20% at home but failing to keep any away from home. They've also failed to score in 30% of their games overall, a figure that stands at 40% for home matches and 20% for away encounters. Their Expected Goals (xG) stands at 1.31 overall, 1.38 at home, and 1.22 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.25 overall, 1.03 at home, and 1.54 away.

England Team Form and Stats

Looking at England's last 10 outings across all competitions, their recent performances have been strong. The sequence of results reads: win, win, win, win, draw, loss, win, win, win, draw, yielding an average of 2.30 points per game overall.

At home, their record in the same timeframe is win, win, draw, loss, win, win, win, draw, averaging 2.13 points per game. On their travels, England have been exceptional, with a record of win, win, indicating an impressive 3.00 points per game away from home.

Digging into the statistics, England boast a 70% win rate overall. This breaks down to 63% at home and a perfect 100% away. On average, they've been scoring 2.50 goals per match, with 2.25 at home and a remarkable 3.50 on the road. Their scoring rate stands at 2.10 goals per game overall, 1.75 at home, and 3.50 away. Defensively, they've been very solid, conceding just 0.40 goals overall, 0.50 at home, and not conceding any goals away from home. Both Teams To Score has featured in 20% of their matches overall, 25% at home, and 0% away. Clean sheets have been kept in 70% of games overall, 63% at home, and 100% away. They've failed to score in 20% of matches overall, 25% at home, and 0% away. Their Expected Goals (xG) figure is 2.19 overall, 2.16 at home, and 2.35 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 0.66 overall, 0.66 at home, and 0.68 away.

Panama vs England Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

Panama have played 1 match with 0% wins, 0% draws and 100% losses. In contrast, England have a 100% win record from their 1 match. Looking at goal totals, England have hit over 1.5 goals in 100% of their games, over 2.5 in 100%, and over 3.5 in 100%. Both teams have scored in 100% of their encounters. Panama have kept 0% clean sheets, while England have also registered 0% clean sheets against Panama. Their previous meeting on 24 June 2018 saw England emerge victorious with a 6-1 scoreline against Panama.