Portugal vs Uzbekistan Prediction & Betting Tips | 23 June 2026

Match Preview

Portugal are looking to get their 2026 World Cup campaign up and running with a win when they face Uzbekistan in a crucial Group K encounter. With Portugal needing a victory against Uzbekistan, we're forecasting a 3-1 success for the tournament favourites. Roberto Martinez's side drew 1-1 with DR Congo in their first game, a performance that showed there's definitely more to come, even though Portugal dominated possession for long periods. Cristiano Ronaldo is anticipated to spearhead the attack again, despite a subdued showing in the opener, and Francisco Conceicao is strongly expected to be in the starting lineup after making a positive impact when he came on. Portugal's recent form is still strong, with six wins in their last ten games, averaging 2.2 goals per match and boasting a high expected goals figure of 2.18. Uzbekistan, on the other hand, succumbed to a 3-1 defeat against Colombia in their World Cup debut. They battled hard throughout, but defensive errors proved costly against the Colombians. Rustam Ashurmatov is a doubt with injury, which would be a considerable setback for Uzbekistan's defence, and Manchester City player Abdukodir Khusanov needs to tread carefully as he's just one booking away from a ban. The White Wolves have found recent results tough, losing their last three matches and scoring just 1.1 goals per game on average over their last ten fixtures. Given Portugal's superior squad and their urgent need for three points following their draw with DR Congo, a Home Win looks like a confident selection, along with Conceicao to Score or Assist and Over 2.5 goals (Portugal average 3.2 total goals in their matches and should create numerous opportunities). This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Tuesday 23 June 2026, kicking off at 18:00.

Portugal Team Form and Stats

Portugal's performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions shows a strong trend. Their recent form reads as follows: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win, Draw, accumulating 2.10 points per game on average.

At home, their record is even more impressive, with a sequence of Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win, Draw. This translates to an average of 2.33 points earned per home fixture. On the road, Portugal have secured a Win, Loss, Draw, Win, averaging 1.75 points per away game.

Looking at the statistics, Portugal boasts a 60% win rate overall, climbing to 67% when playing at home and dropping to 50% away. They are scoring an average of 3.20 goals per game overall, with a remarkable 3.83 at home and 2.25 away. Their scoring average stands at 2.20 goals per game overall, 2.83 at home, and 1.25 away. Defensively, they are conceding 1.00 goal per game across all matches, with 1.00 conceded at home and 1.00 away. Both Teams To Score has occurred in 60% of their games overall, spiking to 83% at home and standing at 25% away. Clean sheets have been kept in 30% of their matches overall, 17% at home, and 50% away. They have failed to score in 20% of games overall, with no instances at home and 50% of away matches seeing them unable to find the net. Their Expected Goals (xG) figure is 2.18 overall, 2.36 at home, and 1.90 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 0.91 overall, 0.89 at home, and 0.96 away.

Uzbekistan Team Form and Stats

Here's a look at Uzbekistan's recent performance across their last 10 outings in all competitions:

**Overall Form:** w w l w d w d l l l

**Points Per Game:** 1.40

**Home Form:** w l w d w d l

**Home Points Per Game:** 1.57

**Away Form:** w l l

**Away Points Per Game:** 1.00

**Key Statistics:**

* **Win Percentage:** 40% (Overall), 43% (Home), 33% (Away)

* **Average Goals Per Game:** 2.10 (Overall), 2.14 (Home), 2.00 (Away)

* **Goals Scored Per Game:** 1.10 (Overall), 1.29 (Home), 0.67 (Away)

* **Goals Conceded Per Game:** 1.00 (Overall), 0.86 (Home), 1.33 (Away)

* **Both Teams to Score:** 40% (Overall), 43% (Home), 33% (Away)

* **Clean Sheets:** 50% (Overall), 57% (Home), 33% (Away)

* **Failed to Score:** 30% (Overall), 29% (Home), 33% (Away)

* **Expected Goals (xG):** 1.06 (Overall), 1.17 (Home), 0.77 (Away)

* **Expected Goals Against (xGA):** 1.43 (Overall), 1.31 (Home), 1.73 (Away)

Portugal vs Uzbekistan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There are no past encounters on record between these two clubs.