South Africa vs Canada Prediction & Betting Tips | 28 June 2026

Match Preview

SoFi Stadium is set to host a World Cup knockout tie between South Africa and Canada. Given Canada's potent attack and evident desire to progress, we're forecasting a 2-0 victory for the visitors. South Africa, affectionately known as Bafana Bafana, secured their spot in the last 32 after a surprising 1-0 triumph over South Korea, demonstrating impressive tactical discipline and defensive structure. The return of midfielder Teboho Mokoena following suspension is a welcome boost, although Themba Zwane is still absent. Recent form indicates goalscoring has been a challenge for South Africa, averaging just 0.9 goals per game and winning only two of their last ten fixtures. Nevertheless, they are a tough outfit to breach, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. Canada, conversely, have performed well in the tournament, notably a resounding 6-0 win against Qatar, a 1-1 draw with Bosnia, and a tight 2-1 loss to Switzerland. The Canucks have been defensively sound, keeping six clean sheets in their last ten outings and conceding a mere 0.6 goals per game. Key midfielder Stephen Eustaquio is back in the lineup, but Ismael Kone continues to be unavailable due to injury. Alphonso Davies remains questionable. Considering Canada's greater tournament consistency, we're leaning towards an Away Win, coupled with Jonathan David to Score and Under 2.5 Goals in the match, reflecting South Africa's limited scoring and Canada's robust defence. This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Sunday 28 June 2026, kicking off at 20:00.

South Africa Team Form and Stats

South Africa's recent form across their last 10 outings in all competitions shows a pattern of: Loss, Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win. They've managed an average of 1.00 points per game overall.

Looking at their home record over the same period, it's been: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, also averaging 1.00 points per game. Their away form has been: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw, again with an average of 1.00 points per game.

Statistical breakdown:

Overall, their win percentage stands at 20%. At home, it's also 20%, and away, it's 20%.

Goals scored per game:

Overall: 2.10

Home: 1.80

Away: 2.40

Goals scored per game by South Africa:

Overall: 0.90

Home: 0.80

Away: 1.00

Goals conceded per game by South Africa:

Overall: 1.20

Home: 1.00

Away: 1.40

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 60% of their overall matches, 60% at home, and 60% away.

Clean sheets have been kept in 20% of their overall games, 40% at home, and 0% away.

They've failed to score in 30% of their overall matches, 20% at home, and 40% away.

Expected goals (xG) scored:

Overall: 1.62

Home: 1.71

Away: 1.53

Expected goals against (xGA):

Overall: 0.97

Home: 0.78

Away: 1.18

Canada Team Form and Stats

Canada's recent performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions shows a mixed bag of results. Their overall form reads as: draw, win, win, draw, draw, win, draw, draw, win, loss, averaging 1.70 points per game.

At home, their record is: draw, win, draw, draw, win, draw, draw, win, with an average of 1.75 points gathered.

Away from home, they've managed: win, loss, achieving 1.50 points per game.

Looking at the statistics:

Overall, Canada have a 40% win rate, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game, with 1.60 of those finding the net. They concede 0.60 goals on average. Both teams to score has occurred in 40% of matches, and they've kept clean sheets in 60% of games, failing to score in 20%. Their expected goals figure stands at 1.73, while expected goals against is 0.69.

At home:

Their win percentage is 38%, with an average of 2.13 goals per game scored (1.63 on average). They let in 0.50 goals per match. Both teams to score has happened in 38% of their home ties, and they've kept a clean sheet 63% of the time, failing to score in 25% of games. Their expected goals at home are 1.83, with expected goals against at 0.62.

Away from home:

They boast a 50% win rate, scoring an average of 2.50 goals per game (1.50 on average). They concede 1.00 goal per match. Both teams to score has occurred in 50% of their away fixtures, and they've kept a clean sheet in 50% of games, with 0% of matches seeing them fail to score. Their expected goals away from home are 1.37, with expected goals against at 0.91.

South Africa vs Canada Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There's no prior head-to-head record to draw upon for these two sides.