Spain vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips | 10 July 2026

Match Preview

The 2026 World Cup semi-final spot will be on the line as Spain and Belgium clash in what is anticipated to be a thrilling quarter-final encounter. La Roja secured their passage to the final eight following a hard-earned 1-0 triumph against Portugal, with Mikel Merino emerging from the bench to net a late, decisive goal. The Arsenal man is now poised to step into the starting lineup, potentially in place of Dani Olmo, following his impactful substitute appearance. Spain's manager, Luis de la Fuente, reports no new injury worries for his squad. Throughout the competition, Spain have been exceptionally solid at the back, not conceding a single goal, and boast a record of six wins from their last ten fixtures across all competitions, maintaining seven clean sheets in that period. Their impressive expected goals figure of 2.07 further underscores their consistent ability to fashion high-quality scoring opportunities. Belgium, on the other hand, sent a powerful message in the round of 16 by comfortably overcoming tournament hosts USA with a 4-1 scoreline. Hans Vanaken is anticipated to come into the midfield, likely replacing Amadou Onana, as the Red Devils aim to leverage their potent attacking prowess, having averaged 3.3 goals per game in their last ten outings. Nevertheless, confronting the tournament's stingiest defence presents a considerably different proposition. Spain also emerged victorious in their sole previous World Cup encounter against Belgium, crucially keeping a clean sheet. Given that La Roja have showcased themselves as one of the competition's most well-rounded teams and have yet to concede, the suggestion is to back a Home Win, coupled with Spain to Win to Nil and Under 2.5 goals. This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Friday 10 July 2026, kicking off at 20:00.

Spain Team Form and Stats

Looking at Spain's recent record across their last 10 games in all competitions, their form reads as follows: D, W, D, D, W, D, W, W, W, W. They are averaging 2.20 points per game overall. At home, their recent results are D, W, D, D, D, W, W, bringing in 1.86 points per match. On the road, they've been in superb nick, winning all three of their last away fixtures for an average of 3.00 points per game.

In terms of statistics, Spain boast a 60% win rate overall, with 43% of those wins coming on home soil and a perfect 100% win rate away from home. They're scoring an average of 2.20 goals per game overall, with 2.29 at home and 2.00 on the road. Their scoring average is 1.80 per game generally, 1.86 at home, and 1.67 away. Defensively, they're very solid, conceding just 0.40 goals per game overall, 0.43 at home and a miserly 0.33 away. Both Teams To Score has occurred in 30% of their matches overall, 29% at home, and 33% away. They're keeping clean sheets in an impressive 70% of their games overall, 71% at home, and 67% away. They've failed to score in 20% of their matches overall, 29% at home, and not once away. Their Expected Goals (xG) figure stands at 2.07 overall, 2.47 at home, and 1.15 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 0.68 overall, 0.60 at home, and 0.88 away.

Belgium Team Form and Stats

Looking at Belgium's performance over their last 10 fixtures across all tournaments, their form has been impressive. They've secured a points-per-game average of 2.40 overall, with a strong home record yielding 2.20 points per game and an even better away average of 2.60 points per game.

Their win rate stands at a healthy 70% overall, with home victories accounting for 60% and a remarkable 80% on the road. Goals have been plentiful, with an average of 4.10 goals per game in total, split between 3.80 at home and 4.40 away. They've been prolific in front of goal, netting an average of 3.30 goals per game overall, 3.20 at home, and 3.40 away. Defensively, they've been solid, conceding just 0.80 goals per game on average, with 0.60 at home and 1.00 away.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 60% of their matches overall, rising to 80% away and dropping to 40% at home. Clean sheets have been a feature in 40% of their games overall, a solid 60% at home, but only 20% away. They've failed to score in just 10% of their overall matches, 20% at home, and never away. Their Expected Goals (xG) figure is 2.21 overall, 2.59 at home, and 1.83 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.02 overall, 1.04 at home, and 0.99 away.

Spain vs Belgium Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

Spain's record stands at a perfect 1 win from 1 match played, with no draws or losses. In contrast, Belgium have played 1 match with a 0% win rate. Looking at goal markets for these encounters, Spain have hit over 1.5 goals in 100% of their 1 match. The stats for over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals, and Both Teams To Score read 0% across the 1 match played. Spain have kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches, whilst Belgium have managed 0% clean sheets. The previous meeting between Spain and Belgium took place on 1 September 2016, resulting in Belgium 0 Spain 2.