Spain vs Saudi Arabia Prediction & Betting Tips | 21 June 2026

Match Preview

Spain are aiming for their first victory of the World Cup as they face Saudi Arabia in their second group fixture. With Lamine Yamal back in the starting lineup for La Roja, we're tipping a 3-0 win for the home side. The reigning European champions were unexpectedly held to a goalless stalemate by Cape Verde in their opener, though that result didn't fully reflect the game. Luis de la Fuente's team bossed the match, racking up 27 shots and an expected goals tally of 2.10, but ultimately were thwarted by wayward finishing and some heroic defending. The positive news for Spain is that Barcelona's star Lamine Yamal is anticipated to be back in the starting XI after coming off the bench in the first game, and Nico Williams is also vying for a spot in attack. Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, pulled off one of the shocks of the opening round by drawing 1-1 with Uruguay. Georgios Donis's side displayed excellent discipline and shape, but they now come up against a Spanish team eager to put things right. The Green Falcons have found consistency hard to come by lately, winning just two of their last ten outings and netting an average of 0.8 goals per game. Their expected goals figure of 0.93 further underscores their struggles to generate significant scoring opportunities. With no new injury worries, Saudi Arabia are expected to once again adopt a defensive stance and aim to stifle their opponents. La Roja dominated Cape Verde and ought to convert their superiority into three points this time around. Consequently, a Home Win looks like a solid bet, as does Yamal to Score and Spain to Win to Nil (Spain have kept clean sheets in 70% of their last ten matches, while Saudi Arabia average only 0.8 goals per game). This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Sunday 21 June 2026, kicking off at 17:00.

Spain Team Form and Stats

Looking at Spain's performance over their last 10 games across all competitions, their form has been impressive. They've secured a significant number of wins, averaging 2.20 points per game overall. At home, their record shows a solid run of wins and draws, yielding 1.86 points per match. On the road, they've been particularly strong, winning all three matches played and averaging a remarkable 3.00 points per game.

Their statistics highlight a potent attacking force. Overall, Spain boast a 60% win rate, with a home win percentage of 43% and a perfect 100% on their travels. They're averaging an impressive 2.90 goals per game in total, with their away games seeing a staggering 4.67 goals on average. They've been scoring 2.50 goals per game overall, and a formidable 4.33 when playing away. Defensively, they've been very tight, conceding just 0.40 goals per game on average overall, and an even stingier 0.33 away from home. Both teams to score has occurred in 30% of their games overall, a slight dip to 29% at home but rising to 33% away. Their clean sheet record is excellent, standing at 70% overall, 71% at home, and 67% away. They've only failed to score in 20% of their matches overall, and 29% at home, with 0% failure to score away. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 2.36 overall, showing they create plenty of chances, with a higher xG of 2.62 at home. Expected goals against (xGA) are low, at 0.66 overall and a mere 0.53 at home, indicating strong defensive solidity.

Saudi Arabia Team Form and Stats

Looking at Saudi Arabia's record over their last ten outings across all competitions, their recent form shows a mixed bag of results. They've managed a points-per-game average of 0.90 overall. At home, this drops to 0.60 points per game, but they've been more potent on the road, averaging 1.20 points per game.

Their statistics reveal a 20% win rate overall, with no wins at home but a respectable 40% win rate away. On average, they've scored 2.00 goals per game in total, with home games seeing 1.40 goals and away games a higher 2.60. They've conceded an average of 1.20 goals per match across the board.

Both Teams To Score has occurred in 40% of their matches overall, 20% at home, and 60% away. They've kept clean sheets in 30% of their games overall, with a better 40% at home and 20% away. Conversely, they've failed to score in 50% of their matches overall, a high 80% at home, but just 20% away. Their Expected Goals (xG) stand at 0.93 overall, mirroring their home xG, while their away xG is slightly lower at 0.91. Their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.52 overall, very similar to their home xGA of 1.51, and their away xGA is 1.55.

Spain vs Saudi Arabia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

Spain achieved a 100% win rate in their single encounter, with no draws and no losses for Saudi Arabia. Spain secured 1 win in that match. In terms of goal totals, 0 of 1 matches went over 1.5 goals, 0 of 1 went over 2.5, and 0 of 1 exceeded 3.5. Both Teams To Score (BTTS) occurred in 0 of 1 games. Spain kept a clean sheet in 100% of their matches, while Saudi Arabia managed 0% clean sheets against Spain.

The previous meeting between Spain and Saudi Arabia on 23 June 2006 ended with Saudi Arabia 0, Spain 1.