Sweden vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips | 15 June 2026

Match Preview

Sweden and Tunisia meet in a Group F fixture, with both teams eager to kick off their World Cup journeys in style. Given both sides' ability to score, we're anticipating a 2-2 stalemate. Sweden arrive at this match following a disappointing string of pre-tournament friendlies, having lost 3-1 to Norway and then drawn 2-2 with Greece. However, manager Graham Potter has received some welcome news, with Alexander Isak now fully recovered from his lengthy injury concerns. Despite this, the bulk of Sweden's attacking threat is anticipated to come from Arsenal's Viktor Gyokeres, who remains their primary danger man in the opposition's half. The Swedish side have lacked consistency of late, securing just two wins from their last ten fixtures, while shipping an average of 2.0 goals per game and failing to keep a clean sheet in that run. Tunisia, on the other hand, will be aiming to recover from a heavy 5-0 reverse against Belgium. Hannibal Mejbri is expected to be central to Tunisia's efforts, with the North Africans boasting a marginally superior recent record to their opponents. Nevertheless, defensive frailties continue to be an issue for Tunisia, who have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game over their last ten matches. Their games have also tended to be open affairs, averaging 2.7 total goals, which suggests this could be an engaging contest. Both Teams to Score has landed in 70% of Sweden's last ten outings, and Tunisia have found the net in seven of their previous ten. Consequently, Both Teams to Score is our primary betting recommendation, alongside Gyokeres to Score and Over 2.5 goals (Sweden's matches average 3.3 goals, while Tunisia's average 2.7, pointing towards another high-scoring affair). This World Cup 2026 match is scheduled for Monday 15 June 2026, with a kick-off time of 03:00.

Sweden Team Form and Stats

Here's a breakdown of Sweden's performance over their last 10 fixtures across all competitions:

Their recent run shows a mixed bag of results, with a pattern of draws and losses interspersed with a few wins. Overall, they've managed an average of 0.90 points per game from their last 10 outings.

Looking at home form specifically, their last 10 matches at their own ground have yielded an average of 1.00 points per game, though this period has also seen a number of defeats and draws.

On the road, Sweden's away form in their last 10 matches has resulted in an average of 0.80 points per game, again featuring a share of draws and losses alongside some victories.

When it comes to winning, Sweden's strike rate sits at 20% across all their recent matches. This 20% win rate holds true for their performances both at home and away.

On average, Sweden's games have seen a total of 3.30 goals. At home, this figure drops slightly to 2.80, while away from home, it rises to 3.80.

In terms of scoring, Sweden have been bagging an average of 1.30 goals per game. This breaks down to 1.20 goals at home and 1.40 when playing away.

Defensively, they've been conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game. This translates to 1.60 goals conceded at home and a higher 2.40 when they are the away side.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 70% of their last 10 matches. This trend is slightly lower at home, appearing in 60% of games, but rises to 80% when they are playing away.

Clean sheets have been elusive, with Sweden failing to keep any clean sheets (0%) in their last 10 matches, regardless of whether they are playing at home, away, or overall.

Conversely, they have failed to find the back of the net in 30% of their recent games. This figure is higher when playing at home (40%) and lower when they are away (20%).

Based on expected goals, Sweden have been creating chances worth an average of 1.20 xG overall. At home, this is 1.23, and away from home, it's 1.17.

Looking at the opposition's expected goals, Sweden have been conceding chances worth an average of 1.50 xG against them overall. This is 1.51 at home and 1.49 when they are the away team.

Tunisia Team Form and Stats

Looking at Tunisia's recent performance across their last 10 outings in all competitions, their form has been a mixed bag. They've secured a points-per-game average of 1.30 overall. At home, their record reads as follows: wins, draws, wins, losses, draws, draws, wins, draws, losses, losses, with a considerably stronger points-per-game average of 3.00. Away from home, the pattern shows draws, wins, losses, draws, draws, wins, draws, losses, losses, and an average of 1.11 points per game.

Digging into the statistics, Tunisia's win percentage stands at 30% overall, a stark contrast to their 100% win rate at home, while their away win percentage is 22%. Their matches have averaged 2.70 goals in total, with an impressive 4.00 goals per game at home and 2.56 on the road. They've managed to score an average of 1.30 goals overall, a significant 3.00 at home, and 1.11 away. Defensively, they've conceded an average of 1.40 goals per game overall, 1.00 at home, and 1.44 away. Both teams scoring has occurred in 50% of their matches overall, 100% at home, and 44% away. Clean sheets have been kept in 30% of games overall, with none at home but 33% away. Conversely, they've failed to score in 30% of matches overall, 0% at home, and 33% away. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.19 overall, rising to 1.72 at home and 1.13 away. Expected goals against (xGA) are 1.42 overall, a much lower 0.76 at home, and 1.50 away.

Sweden vs Tunisia Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There's no historical head-to-head information on file for these two clubs.