Tunisia vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips | 21 June 2026

Match Preview

Tunisia and Japan go head-to-head in Group F, a fixture that could significantly shape the pursuit of a knockout-stage spot. Tunisia face an uphill battle following a comprehensive 5-1 reversal against Sweden in their World Cup bow. The Eagles of Carthage were porous at the back throughout that encounter, and Sweden exploited their pace effectively. FC Copenhagen striker Elias Achouri is vying for a starting berth as Tunisia seek a turnaround. The de facto home side typically ship 1.7 goals per outing, with an xGA of 1.46, indicating persistent defensive frailties. Japan, meanwhile, demonstrated considerable resilience to salvage a 2-2 draw against the Netherlands courtesy of a late leveller. Hajime Moriyasu's Samurai Blue have maintained their strong momentum and are recognised for their tactical discipline. Despite the absence of Takefusa Kubo due to a knee problem sustained against the Dutch, Japan still boast considerable attacking firepower through talents like Ritsu Doan and Kaoru Sano. Japan have emerged victorious in 60% of their last ten fixtures, maintaining six clean sheets and conceding just 0.8 goals on average. Japan's superior current form, coupled with Tunisia's suspect defence, makes an Away Win a viable consideration, along with Japan to Win to Nil and Under 3.5 goals. Each of the previous three encounters between these two nations concluded with fewer than four goals scored, and Japan's games are typically characterised by tactical prudence. This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Sunday 21 June 2026 with a 05:00 kick-off.

Tunisia Team Form and Stats

Looking at Tunisia's recent form across their last 10 outings in all competitions, they've registered a points-per-game average of 1.20 overall. At home, their record is particularly strong, with a win rate of 100% and an average of 3.00 points per game, though their away form sees them averaging 1.00 point per game.

Digging into the statistics, Tunisia's overall win percentage stands at 30%. When playing on home turf, this jumps to 100%, while their away win percentage is 22%. On average, there have been 2.90 goals per game in their matches overall. This rises to 4.00 at home and is 2.78 on the road. They've been scoring 1.20 goals per game overall, a figure that rockets to 3.00 at home but drops to 1.00 away. Defensively, they've conceded 1.70 goals per game overall, with 1.00 conceded at home and 1.78 away. Both Teams To Score has occurred in 50% of their games overall, 100% of home matches, and 44% of away fixtures. Clean sheets have been kept in 30% of their games overall, with this stat at 0% for home matches and 33% for away games. They've failed to score in 30% of their matches overall, with this figure also at 0% for home games and 33% for away fixtures. Their Expected Goals (xG) for is 1.12 overall, 1.72 at home, and 1.06 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.46 overall, 0.76 at home, and 1.54 away.

Japan Team Form and Stats

Looking at Japan's performance across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, their recent form reads as follows: D, L, D, W, W, W, W, W, W, D, with an average of 2.10 points per game overall.

At home, their record is stronger, marked by D, W, W, W, W, yielding an impressive 2.60 points per game. Away from home, their form is D, L, W, W, D, giving them 1.60 points per game.

Digging into the statistics:

Their overall win percentage stands at 60%. This jumps to 80% when playing at home, but drops to 40% when they're on the road.

On average, Japan score 2.30 goals per game overall, with a remarkable 3.00 at home and 1.60 away. They've been scoring an average of 1.50 goals per game across all matches, 2.20 at home, and 0.80 away.

Defensively, they've been conceding 0.80 goals per game, a figure consistent across their overall, home, and away matches.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 30% of their overall games, 40% at home, and 20% away.

They've managed to keep clean sheets in 60% of their matches, regardless of whether they're playing at home or away.

Japan have failed to find the net in 20% of their overall games, a statistic that improves to 0% when playing at home, but rises to 40% when they are the away side.

Their Expected Goals (xG) metric is 1.42 overall, 1.54 at home, and 1.30 away. Conversely, their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.18 overall, a much lower 0.86 at home, and 1.50 away.

Tunisia vs Japan Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

Tunisia have registered 0% wins in their last 3 matches, with 0% draws and 100% losses. Japan, on the other hand, have a 100% win record. In terms of goals, Japan have had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 3 of their recent games (100%), but have seen 0% over 2.5 goals and 0% over 3.5 goals in their last 3 outings. Both teams to score has also occurred in 0% of their last 3 matches. Tunisia have managed 100% clean sheets, whilst Japan have also kept 100% clean sheets.

Looking at previous encounters between Tunisia and Japan:

17 October 2023: Japan 2 - 0 Tunisia

27 March 2015: Japan 2 - 0 Tunisia

14 June 2002: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan