Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting Tips | 26 June 2026

Match Preview

This looks like a classic mismatch as Tunisia prepare to face the Netherlands in the final Group F fixture. Following their impressive 5-1 thrashing of Sweden, we're backing the Dutch to secure a comfortable 3-0 away victory. Tunisia, under experienced coach Herve Renard, were hoping for an upturn in fortunes after their chastening 5-1 loss to Sweden, but they were comprehensively beaten 4-0 by Japan. Defensive frailties have been a persistent issue, with Tunisia conceding an average of 2.1 goals per game over their last ten outings. Ismael Gharbi and Mohamed Ben Hamida are both in contention to start as Renard seeks a solution to boost morale. Conversely, the Netherlands have grown in stature throughout the tournament. After an opening 2-2 draw with Japan, Ronald Koeman's side bounced back with a resounding 5-1 dismantling of Sweden. Brian Brobbey, who netted twice, is expected to keep his place in attack, with Cresencio Summerville also vying for a starting spot after another energetic cameo from the bench. The Dutch have averaged 2.5 goals per game over their last ten matches and boast talent across the park. With the Netherlands requiring a positive result to top the group and Tunisia showing significant weaknesses at both ends of the pitch, this appears to be a straightforward contest. We're therefore predicting an Away Win, with Brobbey to score and Over 2.5 goals, given that the Netherlands have already bagged seven goals in their first two group games and Tunisia have a porous defence. This World Cup 2026 encounter is scheduled for Friday 26 June 2026, kicking off at 00:00.

Tunisia Team Form and Stats

Looking at Tunisia's performance over their last 10 games across all competitions, they've managed 0.90 points per game on average. Their recent form reads as: win, loss, draw, draw, win, draw, loss, loss, loss, loss.

At home, their record is win, loss, with an average of 1.50 points per game. On the road, it's loss, draw, draw, win, draw, loss, loss, loss, averaging 0.75 points per game.

Digging into the statistics:

Their overall win percentage stands at 20%, improving to 50% when playing at home, but dropping to 13% away.

On average, their matches see 3.00 goals per game overall, rising to 4.00 at home and 2.75 away.

They've scored an average of 0.90 goals per game overall, 1.50 at home, and 0.75 away.

Conversely, they've conceded 2.10 goals per game overall, 2.50 at home, and 2.00 away.

Both teams scoring has occurred in 50% of their overall games, a figure consistent across home and away fixtures.

Clean sheets have been achieved in 20% of their overall matches, but this drops to 0% at home and improves to 25% away.

They've failed to find the net in 40% of their overall games, 50% at home, and 38% away.

Expected goals for Tunisia are 1.00 overall, 1.01 at home, and 1.00 away.

Expected goals against them are 1.46 overall, 1.04 at home, and 1.57 away.

Netherlands Team Form and Stats

Looking at the Netherlands' last 10 outings across all competitions, their recent form is strong. Their results have seen them secure a good average of 2.10 points per game. Domestically, they've been particularly impressive, averaging 2.13 points per match. On the road, they've still managed a respectable 2.00 points per game.

Their overall win percentage stands at 60%, with a slightly better record at home (63%) compared to away (50%). They're scoring plenty, averaging 3.30 goals per game in total, with 3.38 at home and 3.00 away. Their attacking output is consistent, netting 2.50 goals per game regardless of venue. Defensively, they're solid, conceding just 0.80 goals overall, 0.88 at home, and a mere 0.50 on their travels. Both Teams to Score has landed in 60% of their games overall, 63% at home, and 50% away. Clean sheets have been achieved in 30% of matches overall, 25% at home, and a significant 50% away. They've failed to find the net in only 10% of games overall, 13% at home, and not at all away. Their expected goals (xG) sit at 1.62 overall, 1.59 at home, and 1.73 away, while their expected goals against (xGA) are 1.05 overall, 1.07 at home, and 0.97 away.

Tunisia vs Netherlands Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There is no prior head-to-head record for these two clubs.