Uruguay vs Cape Verde Prediction & Betting Tips | 22 June 2026

Match Preview

Uruguay will be keen to ignite their World Cup campaign against Cape Verde in their second Group H fixture. Following their resilient 1-1 draw with Saudi Arabia, particularly in the second half, we're forecasting a narrow 1-0 victory for the home side. Marcelo Bielsa's team registered a notable 22 shots after the interval and were arguably unlucky not to secure the win. Darwin Nunez may not feature from the start following a quiet performance, with Agustin Canobbio a strong contender for a starting spot. Ronald Araujo is still unavailable, though the Barcelona centre-back is anticipated to be fit for the final group fixture. Uruguay's recent defensive record is impressive, having kept six clean sheets in their last ten outings, conceding an average of just 0.8 goals per game. Cape Verde, on the other hand, delivered a standout defensive display in the opening round, frustrating Spain to a 0-0 stalemate. Veteran keeper Vozinha was instrumental as the Blue Sharks withstood sustained pressure. However, manager Bubista's side might have to do without winger Jovane Cabral, who is a doubt after sustaining an injury against Spain, with Willy Semedo on standby. While Cape Verde have proven exceptionally difficult to break down, they are still seeking their first away win in their last four attempts and now face a much more determined Uruguay outfit. Bielsa's charges controlled proceedings against Saudi Arabia and will be expected to convert their opportunities this time. Consequently, we're leaning towards a Home Win, combined with Under 3.5 and Under 2.5 goals. Uruguay's defensive strength, coupled with Cape Verde's proven ability to stifle stronger opposition, underpins this selection. This World Cup 2026 encounter is scheduled for Monday 22 June 2026, kicking off at 23:00.

Uruguay Team Form and Stats

Looking at Uruguay's recent form across their last 10 games in all competitions, they've secured a points-per-game average of 1.70. Their results have been a mix of wins (w), draws (d), and losses (l), with the sequence being w w d w w d l d d d.

At home, Uruguay have been particularly strong, boasting a perfect win record and averaging an impressive 3.00 points per game. Their away form, however, has been less dominant, with a points-per-game average of 1.14, marked by a sequence of d w d l d d d.

Delving into the statistics, Uruguay's overall win percentage stands at 40%. This jumps to a remarkable 100% when playing on home soil, though it drops to 14% for away fixtures. On average, they're scoring 1.90 goals per game overall, with this figure rising to 2.00 at home and falling slightly to 1.86 away.

In terms of goals conceded, Uruguay let in 0.80 per game on average overall, 0.00 at home, and 1.14 away. Both teams to score (BTTS) has occurred in 40% of their matches overall, a stark contrast to 0% at home and 57% away. Clean sheets have been a regular feature, with Uruguay shutting out their opponents in 60% of games overall, 100% at home, and 43% away. They've failed to find the back of the net in 30% of their overall matches, a stat that stands at 0% at home and 43% away.

Expected goals (xG) for Uruguay average 1.39 overall, 1.67 at home, and 1.27 away. Their expected goals against (xGA) are 1.07 overall, 0.90 at home, and 1.14 away.

Cape Verde Team Form and Stats

Looking at Cape Verde's recent form across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, they've managed a points-per-game average of 1.70 overall. Their home record sees them picking up 2.33 points on average per match, whereas their away form is less impressive, averaging 0.75 points.

Statistically, their overall win percentage stands at 40%. At home, they've been far more successful, winning 67% of their games, while they are yet to secure a victory away from home (0% win rate).

On average, Cape Verde have been involved in games with 2.60 goals overall, with an average of 2.00 goals scored at home and a considerably higher 3.50 goals scored in away matches. They've netted 1.70 goals per game generally, with 1.83 at home and 1.50 away. Defensively, they've conceded 0.90 goals overall, with an excellent 0.17 at home but a concerning 2.00 away.

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) has occurred in 40% of their overall matches, dropping to 17% at home but spiking to 75% in away games. They've kept clean sheets in 60% of their outings overall, a strong 83% at home, but only 25% away. Conversely, they've failed to score in 20% of matches overall, 17% at home, and 25% away.

Their Expected Goals (xG) figure is 1.36 overall, rising to 1.77 at home and dropping to 0.85 away. Their Expected Goals Against (xGA) is 1.22 overall, a respectable 0.91 at home, and a higher 1.62 when playing away.

Uruguay vs Cape Verde Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

There is no prior meeting history on record for these two clubs.