Uruguay vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips | 27 June 2026

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Spain and Uruguay lock horns in a gripping World Cup Round of 32 fixture with a spot in the next stage on the line. Given La Celeste's recent difficulties in finding their rhythm at the tournament, we're tipping a 2-1 victory for the visitors. Uruguay have flattered to deceive up to this point, having drawn their last two matches against Saudi Arabia (1-1) and Cape Verde (2-2). Marcelo Bielsa's squad has found it tough to convert their territorial advantage into wins, and the pressure is building ahead of this decisive knockout tie. Darwin Nunez is pushing for a starting berth following a promising performance against Cape Verde, but Uruguay are still missing the influential Ronald Araujo and Giorgian de Arrascaeta due to injury. Spain, on the other hand, are in confident mood after a commanding 4-0 triumph over Saudi Arabia, which guaranteed them first place in Group H. Luis de la Fuente's team has displayed consistent strength throughout the competition, blending defensive solidity with attacking flair. The fit-again Lamine Yamal is anticipated to start again, with Fabian Ruiz also in consideration after his recent eye-catching displays. Considering Uruguay's up-and-down form and Spain's impressive defensive record, La Roja appear to hold the advantage. Spain are expected to dominate possession and fashion the more dangerous opportunities, positioning them as favourites to advance. With Spain having been the more impressive team throughout the tournament, an Away Win is a strong consideration. Furthermore, bets on Spain Over 1.5 goals and Lamine Yamal to Score look attractive. This World Cup 2026 encounter is scheduled for Saturday 27 June 2026, kicking off at 01:00.

Uruguay Team Form and Stats

Looking at Uruguay's last 10 games across all competitions, their recent form shows a mixed bag. They've secured a decent 1.50 points per game overall, with a strong home record of 2.33 points per game. Away from home, however, they've picked up fewer points, averaging 1.14 per match.

In terms of win percentages, Uruguay have a 30% success rate overall, which jumps to an impressive 67% at home but drops to just 14% on their travels. They're scoring an average of 2.10 goals per game in total, with their home fixtures seeing a higher average of 2.67 goals scored. Away from home, this figure is 1.86. Defensively, they concede 1.00 goal per game on average, conceding 0.67 at home and 1.14 away.

Both teams to score has happened in 50% of their matches overall, 33% at home and 57% away. Uruguay have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games, a rate of 67% at home and 43% on the road. They've failed to find the net in 30% of their overall fixtures, a statistic that stands at 0% for home games and 43% for away matches. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 1.42 overall, 1.78 at home, and 1.26 away. They're expected to concede 1.11 goals per game, with an xG against of 1.05 at home and 1.14 away.

Spain Team Form and Stats

Looking at Spain's recent performances across their last 10 fixtures in all competitions, their form reads as follows: Overall, they've secured 2.20 points per game with a record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss (w w w d w d d w d w). At home, their points per game stand at 2.00 from 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (w w d w d d d w). Away from home, their average is a perfect 3.00 points per game with 3 wins and 0 losses (w w w).

Digging into the statistics: Spain boast a 60% win rate overall, with 50% of their home games ending in victory and a remarkable 100% win rate on the road. They're averaging 2.70 goals per game in total, scoring 2.30 and conceding just 0.40. At home, this drops slightly to 2.38 goals per game (scoring 2.00, conceding 0.38), while away they average an impressive 4.00 goals per game, with 3.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both Teams to Score has occurred in 30% of their matches overall, 25% at home, and 50% away. Clean sheets are a strong suit, with 70% of their games overall ending without conceding, 75% at home, and 50% away. They've failed to score in 20% of their games overall, 25% at home, and never away. Their Expected Goals (xG) stand at 2.37 overall, 2.62 at home, and 1.40 away. Conversely, Expected Goals Against (xGA) is low at 0.58 overall, 0.52 at home, and 0.85 away.

Uruguay vs Spain Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

We don't have any record of previous encounters between these two clubs.