USA vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips | 7 July 2026

Match Preview

The USA and Belgium face off for a spot in the World Cup quarter-finals, and this last-16 clash looks set to be a real humdinger. Given how closely matched these two sides appear right now, we're anticipating a 1-1 stalemate. The USA progressed past Bosnia with a 2-0 victory in the last 32, even with their leading marksman Folarin Balogun sent off; he's now suspended. Ricardo Pepi is the likely candidate to lead the line, and Christian Pulisic will shoulder even more of the creative burden. Centre-back Mark McKenzie is still out injured but wasn't expected to play anyway. Mauricio Pochettino's men have secured victory in six of their last ten outings, netting an average of 2.3 goals and registering 1.52 expected goals (xG) per fixture. However, their defence has let in 1.7 goals per game, indicating that there's definitely scope for shoring things up at the back. Belgium, on the other hand, required extra time to get the better of Senegal, netting twice late in regular time before Youri Tielemans bagged the decisive penalty. Romelu Lukaku is expected to be back in the starting lineup, and Rudi Garcia has his entire squad fit and available. The Red Devils have also won six of their last ten matches, boasting an impressive average of 3.0 goals scored and 2.30 xG per outing. Furthermore, they've only conceded 0.8 goals per match, demonstrating their effectiveness at both ends of the park. Belgium have emerged victorious in both of their previous encounters with the USA, which will undoubtedly be a significant confidence booster for fans heading into this last-16 showdown. With the attacking talent of Pulisic for the USA, and Belgium's consistent ability to find the net, our primary betting recommendation for this World Cup fixture is for Both Teams to Score. Additionally, we're backing Pulisic to Score or Assist, and a Belgium or Draw outcome (Balogun's absence is a major setback for the Yanks). This World Cup 2026 fixture is scheduled for Tuesday 7 July 2026, with kick-off at 01:00.

USA Team Form and Stats

Looking at USA's record across their most recent 10 outings in all competitions, they've bagged 1.80 points per game overall. Their home form is particularly strong, yielding 2.00 points per fixture, though they've yet to pick up any points on the road (0.00).

Overall, USA boast a 60% win rate. At home, this figure rises to 67%, but drops to 0% away from their own patch. They're averaging 4.00 goals per match in total, with 3.89 at home and a hefty 5.00 away. Their scoring average stands at 2.30 overall, 2.33 at home, and 2.00 on their travels. They're conceding 1.70 goals per game overall, 1.56 at home, and 3.00 away.

Both Teams to Score has landed in 70% of their games overall, 67% at home, and 100% away. Clean sheets are a rarity, achieved in just 20% of matches overall, 22% at home, and 0% away. They've failed to find the net in 10% of games overall, 11% at home, and 0% away. Their expected goals (xG) are 1.52 overall, 1.48 at home, and 1.92 away. Expected goals against (xGA) are 1.16 overall and at home, and 1.12 away.

Belgium Team Form and Stats

Belgium's recent form over their last 10 fixtures across all competitions shows a strong record. Their results have been a mix of wins and draws, averaging 2.20 points per game overall. At home, their form mirrors this with a solid sequence of wins and draws, also yielding 2.20 points per game. On the road, they've continued this trend with similar outcomes, again achieving 2.20 points per game.

Looking at the statistics, Belgium have a 60% win rate in their last 10 games, consistent across overall, home, and away matches. They average 3.80 goals per game in total, with 3.00 scored overall, 3.20 at home, and 2.80 away. Their defence has been robust, conceding just 0.80 goals per game overall, 0.60 at home, and 1.00 away. Both teams to score has occurred in 60% of their overall matches, 40% at home, and 80% away. Clean sheets have been kept in 40% of their overall games, 60% at home, and 20% away. They've failed to score in 10% of their overall matches, 20% at home, and 0% away. Their expected goals (xG) stand at 2.30 overall, 2.59 at home, and 2.01 away. Expected goals against (xGA) are 1.02 overall, 1.03 at home, and 1.00 away.

USA vs Belgium Head to Head Statistics (H2H)

USA (0% of last 2 matches) have achieved 0 wins and 0 draws (0%) from those games. Belgium (100% of last 2 matches) have secured 2 wins.

In Belgium's last 2 matches:

Over 1.5 goals occurred in 2 / 2 matches (100%).

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 / 2 matches (100%).

Over 3.5 goals occurred in 1 / 2 matches (50%).

Both Teams To Score occurred in 2 / 2 matches (100%).

Belgium kept 0% clean sheets. USA kept 0% clean sheets.

Previous encounters between USA and Belgium:

28 March 2026: USA 2 Belgium 5

1 July 2014: Belgium 2 USA 1